EPMG modelling contributes to Climate Council carbon budget recommendations

19 Dec 2024

The Energy Policy and Modelling Group played a central role in developing the evidence base underpinning these carbon budgets. Through membership of the Carbon Budgets Working Group, the EPMG developed an extensive set of energy systems decarbonisation scenarios with the TIMES-Ireland Model in an iterative process, engaging with stakeholders and experts.

In December 2024, the Climate Change Advisory Council released its recommendations to the Irish Government on carbon budget 3 (covering 2031-35) and carbon budget 4 (2036-40). 

• The final report – “Pathways for Ireland’s Energy System to 2050” – can be downloaded here
• A full set of scenario results can be explored and downloaded here
• The TIMES-Ireland Model is open source and can be viewed here
• This project also led to the publication of a peer-reviewed academic paper: V. Aryanpur et al., "Implications of accelerated and delayed climate action for Ireland's energy transition under carbon budgets" npj Climate Action, vol. 3, 2024 (Link)

"For more information about the TIMES-Ireland Model, see TIM - TIMES-Ireland Model and for more information about the CAPACITY project, see here CAPACITY