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Prospects for Carbon Budgets 1 & 2

The Irish Government published Sectoral Emissions Ceilings (SECs) in September 2022. These ceilings set out the maximum amount of greenhouse gas emissions (GHGs) that are permitted in different sectors of the economy during a carbon budget period, Carbon Budget 1 (CB1, covering 2021-25) and Carbon Budget 2 (CB2, covering 2026-30). The finalisation of the SEC for the LULUCF sector has been deferred and in addition, 26 Mt CO2e of “unallocated savings” have not been assigned to sectors in CB2.

Authors

Prof Hannah Daly

Year
2022
Publication Name
University College Cork
Category
Report
Keywords
Carbon Budgets, Ireland, Sectoral Emission Ceilings, Transition
Link to Publication
/en/media/research/energypolicyandmodellinggroup/Prospects-for-Sectoral-Emissions-Ceilings-October-2022.pdf

Abstract

This section examines share of the first carbon budget that have already been emitted in 2021, according to EPA inventory data, assesses likely GHG emissions in 2022 by sector, according to ongoing monthly data, and an outlook for the annual cuts required of each sector for the remainder of carbon budget 1 required to keep under the sectoral emissions ceiling. Analysis is confined to Agriculture, Transport, Electricity and Buildings, which together accounted for 75% of GHG emissions in 2021 (including LULUCF).

Energy Policy and Modelling Group

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