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Energy System Transition for Climate Neutrality A Country-Level Analysis Using Cumulative Carbon Budgets

Crucial climate goals are not being met Remaining Global Carbon Budget (GCB) for 50% chance of 1.5oC was 500 GtCO2 from 2020, currently 200 GtCO2, and likely zero without significant methane reduction or high climate sensitivity.

Authors

Prof Hannah Daly and Dr. Vahid Aryanpur

Year
2024
Publication Name
International Energy Workshop 2024
Category
Presentation
Keywords
Energy System Transition, Climate Neutrality, Cumulative Carbon Budgets, Ireland, Energy Transition, TIMES Ireland Model
Project

CAPACITY Publications

Link to Publication
https://acrobat.adobe.com/id/urn:aaid:sc:eu:37716de3-b58d-4a2a-8f28-1228be9ec4a4

Abstract

Cpntents of this presentation:

Assess consequences of adhering to CB aligned with global temperature outcomes to inform CCAC’s assessment of CB3 (2031-35) and CB4 (2036-40)

In-progress, in-review analysis, not reflective of CCAC position

Identify implications of overshooting CB1 & CB2

Examine timing of mitigation efforts and novel technologies

Explore timing of fossil-fuel phase-out & implications for investment & demands

Explore the impact of accelerated or delayed mitigation action on the energy system.

Energy Policy and Modelling Group

Environmental Research Institute, Ellen Hutchins Building, University College Cork, Lee Road, Cork, Ireland T23 XE10 ,

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