Publications
Energy System Transition for Climate Neutrality A Country-Level Analysis Using Cumulative Carbon Budgets
Crucial climate goals are not being met Remaining Global Carbon Budget (GCB) for 50% chance of 1.5oC was 500 GtCO2 from 2020, currently 200 GtCO2, and likely zero without significant methane reduction or high climate sensitivity.
- Authors
- Year
- 2024
- Publication Name
- International Energy Workshop 2024
- Category
- Presentation
- Keywords
- Energy System Transition, Climate Neutrality, Cumulative Carbon Budgets, Ireland, Energy Transition, TIMES Ireland Model
- Project
- Link to Publication
- https://acrobat.adobe.com/id/urn:aaid:sc:eu:37716de3-b58d-4a2a-8f28-1228be9ec4a4
Abstract
Cpntents of this presentation:
Assess consequences of adhering to CB aligned with global temperature outcomes to inform CCAC’s assessment of CB3 (2031-35) and CB4 (2036-40)
In-progress, in-review analysis, not reflective of CCAC position
Identify implications of overshooting CB1 & CB2
Examine timing of mitigation efforts and novel technologies
Explore timing of fossil-fuel phase-out & implications for investment & demands
Explore the impact of accelerated or delayed mitigation action on the energy system.