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Impacts of Inter-annual Wind and solar Variations on the European Power System

This research sheds light on the impact of long-term weather variability on the operation of the European power system and how this scales with uptake of wind and solar power out to 2030. We find that ambitious decarbonization leads to much greater influence of long-term weather patterns, with a 5-fold increase in operational variability by 2030. Several relevant metrics can be reasonably approximated by linear functions of variable renewable penetration, providing a shortcut for estimating the impacts of intermittency.

Authors

Sean Collins, Paul Deane, Brian O´Gallachoir, Stefan Pfenninger, Iain Staffell

Year
2018
Journal Name
Joule
Category
Journal Article
Keywords
Power System, Weather, Wind, Solar, Variations
Full Citation
Impacts of inter-annual wind and solar variations on the European power system. (2018). Joule, 2(10), 2076–2090
Link to Publication
/en/media/research/energypolicyandmodellinggroup/ImpactsofInter-annualWindandSolarVariationsontheEuropeanPowerSystem.pdf

Energy Policy and Modelling Group

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