LEAP-Ireland
Model Overview
LEAP Ireland Model is used for modelling up to 2030, and includes multi -scenario, multi - sector information on Ireland's Emissions Inventory, energy demands, electricity generation and supply information and technologies up to 2030. Currently the model is being extended to 2040 by the EPMG Team.
Climate Policy Use
The LEAP-Ireland Model has contributed directly and indirectly to the following Government outputs:
Government Output |
Model Used |
Contribution |
Year |
Reference |
Climate Action Plan 2023 |
TIMES Ireland Model (TIM), LEAP, PLEXOS |
UCC modelling (particularly TIM) contributed to the analysis underpinning the Sectoral Emission Ceilings which is described in a separate document below. Although not contributing directly to CAP2023, the inclusion of SEC was an important part of CAP2023. Model outputs from the LEAP model informed the discussion of a number of working groups for the Climate Action Plan 2023. |
2022 |
Climate Action Plan 2023, Department of Environment Climate and Communications. |
Summary of Analysis to Support Preparation of the Sectoral Emissions Ceilings |
TIM, LEAP, PLEXOS |
In April 2022, UCC was requested to undertake energy systems modelling analysis to inform the development of Sectoral Emissions Ceilings as part of the Government’s carbon budgeting programme. This work took place under the CAPACITY project, part of the DECC-funded Climate Action Modelling Group (CAMG). UCC develops and applies several energy modelling analytical tools in order to assess the impacts of climate and energy policies and technology, market and demand dynamics.
Full results of the study are available on an interactive web-app: https://epmg.netlify.app/tim-carbon-budgets-2022/results |
2022 |
Summary of Analysis to Support Preparation of the Sectoral Emissions Ceilings, Department of Environment Climate and Communications. |
A Review of Requirements and Constraints on Biofuels in Ireland |
TIM, LEAP
|
Prior to instigating this work, the Department had engaged the Energy Policy and Modelling Group (EPMG) from UCC to carry out an analysis of the transport energy requirements to meet two scenarios: a) the Climate Action Plan 2021 target of B20 / E10 by 2030; and b) an increased target of a B25 / E10 or B30 / E10 by 2030. LEAP, is a simulation model of Ireland’s energy system. The current version of the model is designed to examine individual policy measures, such as 845,000 electric vehicles or 20% blend of biodiesel. In contrast with the TIM model, for the LEAP model, the bioenergy blend is an input to the model. The impact of all policy measures – individually or combined – on CO2 emissions can be assessed. In summary, the two EPMG models forecast the energy requirements for 2025 and 2030, for biodiesel and bioethanol. |
2022 |
A Review of Requirements and Constraints on Biofuels in Ireland Arising from RED II and National Targets, Department of Transport. |
Ireland's Long-term Strategy on Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reduction |
TIM, LEAP, PLEXOS |
Ireland’s Climate Information Platform, Climate Ireland, was developed on a phased basis under the EPA Research Programme as a "one-stop shop" of information, data and knowledge to support those preparing for, and adapting to, the consequences of climate change. designed and developed by the Centre for Marine and Renewable Energy (MaREI) at University College Cork (UCC) and the Irish Centre for High End Computer (ICHEC) at the National University of Ireland, Galway and as part of the EPA funded project A Climate Information Platform for Ireland (ICIP). planning required towards 2050. |
2023 |
Long term Strategy on Greenhouse Gas Reductions, Department of Environment Climate and Communications. |
Your Journey Counts |
LEAP, IPTM |
Insights on how different transport modes (such as car, bus, train) emit different amounts of CO2 emissions for every kilometre travelled per passenger (PKM) were taken from the IPTEM model as described in a UCC study published in 2022 which calculated the CO2 emissions from Irish passenger transport according to trip distance, mode and purpose (UCC MarEI). (O'Riordan et al, 2022) |
2023 |
Your Journey Counts, Department of Transport. |
Climate Action Plan 2024 |
TIM, LEAP, PLEXOS |
The contributions of UCC modelling was cited in the Research & Innovation chapter of CAP2024. Model outputs from the LEAP model informed the discussion of a number of working groups for the Climate Action Plan 2024. |
2024 |
Climate Action Plan 2024, Department of Environment Climate and Communications. |
Research & Innovation Strategy to 2030 |
TIM, LEAP, PLEXOS |
Case study of the Energy Policy and Modelling Group UCC, CAPACITY project in which the UCC team use models they have developed (TIM, LEAP and PLEXOS) to understand how changes in Ireland's energy system will impact meeting greenhouse gas emissions reductions targets for the Department of Environment, Climate and Communications. |
2024 |
Research and Innovation Strategy to 2030, Department of Environment Climate and Communications. |
Peer Reviewed Publications
- "Policy simulation modelling to inform national carbon budget pathways" Vera O'Riordan, Tomas Mac Uidhir, Fionn Rogan, Policy simulation modelling to inform national carbon budget pathways - ScienceDirect
- Impact of an emissions-based car tax policy on CO2 emissions and tax revenue from private cars in Ireland Vera O'Riordan, Fionn Rogan, Brian O'Gallachoir, Hannah Daly. Full article: Impact of an emissions-based car tax policy on CO2 emissions and tax revenue from private cars in Ireland (tandfonline.com)
- Passenger transport demand, fuel consumption, and emissions data for the Irish Passenger Transport Emissions and Mobility (IPTEM) model, O’Riordan, V., Rogan, F., Uidhir, T. Mac, Ó Gallachóir, B., and Daly, H. Passenger transport demand, fuel consumption, and emissions data for the Irish Passenger Transport Emissions and Mobility (IPTEM) model - ScienceDirect
- How and why we travel – Mobility demand and emissions from passenger transport, O’Riordan, V., Rogan, F., Ó Gallachóir, B., Mac Uidhir, T., and Daly, H. How and why we travel – Mobility demand and emissions from passenger transport - ScienceDirect
- "Achieving the unprecedented: modelling diffusion pathways for ambitious climate policy targets" Tomás Mac Uidhir, Brian Ó Gallachóir, John Curtis, Fionn Rogan. Achieving the unprecedented: Modelling diffusion pathways for ambitious climate policy targets - ScienceDirect
- “Residential stock data and dataset on energy efficiency characteristics of residential building fabrics in Ireland” Tomas Mac Uidhir, Fionn Rogan, Matthew Collins, John Curtis, Brian O Gallachoir. Residential stock data and dataset on energy efficiency characteristics of residential building fabrics in Ireland - ScienceDirect
For other publications, and presentations, please visit CAPACITY Publications
Access LEAP Ireland
Installing LEAP
A valid licenced copy of the Low Emissions Analysis Platform (LEAP) is required to install/ operate the LEAP model developed here. To download LEAP, navigate to the Stocholm Environment Institute (SEI) - LEAP website.
Register with LEAP by clicking on "Sign Up".
Once registered you can download the most recent version of LEAP by following the Download tab.
Obtaining LEAP Licence
License information for LEAP is available within the License tab. LEAP provides a range of licence "Tiers" which are "designed to make LEAP as accesible as possible to energy and climate practitioners in developing countries, while asking others to make a fair contribution to the ongoing development and maintenance of the system and the free technical support.
Installing the LEAP Ireland Model
Once you have a licensed version of LEAP installed, follow these steps to access the LEAP Ireland 2050 model:
(1) Download the LEAP_Ireland.leap file. (2) In LEAP, navigate to Area -> Install -> Install from file.... (3) Navigate to the location where you downloaded the LEAP_Ireland.leap file and click "Yes".
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License. For More information please contact Dr. Tomas Mac Uidhir and Dr. Fionn Rogan.