Energy Security in Energy Systems Modelling
Techno-economic Energy Security Modelling
Researcher: James Glynn
T: 353 (0)21 490-1959
F: 353 (0)21 490-1932
Project Title: Energy Security in Energy Systems Modelling
Funding Body: Higher Education Authority, Graduate Research Engineering Programme in Energy (GREP-ENERGY)
Period: October 2011 - September 2015
Ireland imports 88% of its energy requirements. Oil makes up 59% of total final consumption (TFC) of energy. Import dependency, low fuel diversity and volatile prices leave Ireland vulnerable in terms of energy security.
This research in the energy policy and modelling group focuses on developing methodologies to assess energy security through multiple computational modelling approaches. The national energy systems model, Irish TIMES has been used to understand how the Irish energy system would evolve under scenarios of constrained oil supply. Work is ongoing on reconceptualising “energy security” through the development of national energy security indices, rather than focusing on security of supply metrics. Recent modelling work has commenced developing understanding the welfare impacts to the macro-economy of energy insecurity and climate change mitigating energy system scenarios through integrated assessment models of the energy-economic system.