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Nexus of Early Warning Systems (N.E.W.S.)

The N.E.W.S. (Nexus of Early Warning Systems) is a monthly publication aimed at decision-makers in Ireland, on the European stage, and in the wider world, with an immediacy which comes through the use of new technology. The N.E.W.S provides monthly summaries of food security situations in selected developing countries. Each month, researchers at the famine centre compile food security information from the Internet and the World Wide Web. Currently, a combination of an approximate twenty five web sites and situation reports from various active organisations are accessed.

Food insecurity alone is not a satisfactory indicator of famine, thus problems such as conflict and unfavourable climate are also discussed. Once this information is collected, the editorial team decide which countries are facing problems of food insecurity.

 

N.E.W.S Vol.5 Issue 1

Published to the Web 10th January 2003

Updated 7th February 2003

 

The Horn.

Ethiopia

More than 11 million people in Ethiopia are facing serious food shortages

Eritrea

More than two thirds of the population require food and non-food aid

Sudan

 

Somalia

 

Kenya

 

Central Africa

Democratic Republic of Congo

Burundi

Growing social and political unrest in Burundi threatens food security situation

West Africa.

Sierra Leone

Human Rights Watch launches report on sexual violence during the war 

Liberia 

Cote D'Ivoire

WFP has said that in-country stocks are insufficient to cover the food needs for the next two months.

Southern Africa.

Angola.

WFP predict that the food pipeline will break in April

Zimbabwe

The absence of rain has extinguished any hope for a successful planting season.

Malawi

Deadly floods spread in disaster-struck Malawi

Mozambique

After months of drought last year, ares of Mozambique face another poor rain season

Asia.

DPR Korea

WFP has said that more than 10 percent of DPR Korea's population would be dropped from its grain distribution program early this year if more donations are not forthcoming

Afghanistan 

 

Iraq

Tajikistan

 

 
Ethiopia/Eritrea
The food security situation in both Ethiopia and Eritrea is proving increasingly severe (USAID, 8 January, 2003). More than 11 million people in Ethiopia are facing serious food shortages (Addis Tribune, 3 January 2003). The levels of malnutrition found there have been described as "frightening" (Concern, 18 December, 2003).
The food aid needs for Ethiopia for the first six months of 2003 are 960,000 mt (January 119,000 mt for 7.3 million people, February 133,000 mt for 8.1 million people, March 162,000 mt for 9.9 million people, and between April to June around 180,000 mt each month for 11 million people). Confirmed and unconfirmed contributions currently total over 750,000 tonnes. If the contributions can be confirmed and mobilised quickly, the cereal requirements would be largely covered until June. However, the situation for supplementary food for especially vulnerable groups is less encouraging, with only around half of the requirements for fortified blended food met for January-March. WFP intends to cover about 40 percent of the national level relief food requirements in 2003, through the ongoing WFP emergency operation to the end of March, and through an expansion of the operation scheduled to start in April (UNDP-EUE, 17 January 2003). (USAID, 21 January 2003)
An annual FAO/WFP Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission took place in Ethiopia from 7 November to 3 December 2002. The assessment showed that as a result of decreased production due to drought, more than 11 million people in Ethiopia are facing serious food shortages and possible starvation. The mission forecasts total cereal and pulse production at about 9.27 mt, comprising 8.92 mt from the meher harvest and a predicted 350,000 tonnes from the belg harvest in 2003. At this level, cereal and pulse production is about 25 percent below last year's Ministry of Agriculture (MoA) post-harvest estimates and 21 percent below the average for the previous five years. As a result, the cereal import requirement in 2003 is estimated at nearly 2.3 million tonnes. Only part of this will be covered by emergency food aid requirements of 1.4 million tonnes and the remainder will need to be covered through commercial and concessional imports. The Mission report incorporated the results of a government led multi-agency emergency needs assessment also carried out in November. Full FAO/WFP mission report is available at http://www.fao.org/WAICENT/faoinfo/economic/giews/english/alertes/sptoc.htm
The Executive Director of WFP, Mr. James T. Morris, paid a five-day visit to the country to view the impact of and responses to the crisis between 17-21 January. He met with government officials, including Prime Minister Meles Zenawi, as well as representatives of donor countries and relief agencies. While welcoming the many new contributions that have been announced recently, Mr. Morris called for continued support (UNDP-EUE, 24 January 2003)(21 January 2003).
The livestock feed situation is particularly critical in Afar, Shinile and parts of Oromiya regions (UNDP-EUE, 17 January 2003).
In late January WFP and USAID officials assessed the situation in Oromiya where it is estimated that around 3.1 million people in 112 woredas of the region are looking for urgent relief food assistance. This includes Arsi Zone, Dotota Sire woreda where 59,700 people out of the 100,000 wait for food assistance for the coming nine consecutive months (The Daily Monitor, 20 January 2003).
The Oromiya regional government has announced a plan to undertake a major resettlement programme for some of the severely drought affected inhabitants in the region at a cost of close to 4 million Birr. Ato Daba Gebisa, Head of the Oromiya Early Warning Bureau has stated that the concerned government officials have identified the resettlement areas in order to minimise the growing problem in the region. Farmers' representatives from the severely affected woredas of East and West Harerghe, Arsi, East and North Shoa have already been sent to selected resettlement sites to confirm whether the identified areas are proper or not. They did so by saying the places were 'ideal'. Daba stated that "we believe there can be nothing more pressing and a cause nobler than the rehabilitation of people rendered destitute by the cumulative effects of droughts and famine" (Daily Monitor, 24 January 2003).
An assessment mission to Benishangul Gumuz Region in December stated that there is a total of 31,600 people there who will need relief food assistance for 6 months starting from March (UNDP-EUE, 10 January, 2003).
In Somali region, there has been massive migration of livestock and displacement of people in Shinille zone where the food and water security situation is deteriorating fast. In addition the areas where the cattle and people are migrating to are also under severe pressure. A limited number of tankers have been supplying water for drinking purposes and emergency boreholes have been drilled. The movement of cattle is likely to increase the spread of disease. And the migration of people is likely to cause increased conflicts over limited resources in the destination sites. Recent short rains in the area have had limited impact. (UNDP, 26 December 2002)(UNDP-EUE, 10 January, 2003) In addition measles and diarrhoea outbreaks are being experienced in the region (UNDP-EUE, 24 January 2003).
In December unusual rains fell in central Ethiopia with mixed impacts. In the north, farmers used rains to begin land preparation (South Tigray) for the belg season. In Central, Southern and Eastern Tigray, rains helped to alleviate water and pasture shortages. Further south, in the mid and highlands of Amhara region (North Shewa), central Oromiya and Southern Nations, Nationalities and Peoples Region (SNNPR) rains may complicate ongoing harvests of teff. In the lowlands of Oromiya, including East and West Hararghe, and Arsi, areas hard-hit by the present drought, the rains have contributed to better water and pasture. Further east, in Shinille and Jijiga Zones of Somali Region, short rains (hais) expected in November were late but a few days rain (less than 30mm) in December will have a positive effect on livestock-dependent populations there that have been under extreme stress in December (UNDP-EUE, 3 January, 2003)
Some 36,000 internally displaced persons (IDPs), who settled in Mena Angetu, Berbere and Gololcha woredas of Bale zone of Oromiya region, received urgent non-food assistance from the Ethiopian Red Cross Society (ERCS), supported by the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC). The families have recently migrated fromWestern and Eastern Hararghe and Arsi lowland zones of Oromiya (Addis Tribune, 17 January 2003).
ICRC reported that it is extending its urgent preventive action in Ethiopia to assist the most vulnerable people suffering from the combined effects of poverty, severe drought and persisting threats of insecurity. The ICRC plans to distribute over 40,000 tonnes of food, seeds and fertilizer to up to 700,000 people over a period of 11 months between January and November 2003. The full report is available at www.reliefweb.int
Prime Minister Meles Zenawi has declared that the country stands on the brink of sustained poverty alleviation. Addressing a high-level meeting with donors at the weekend, he said that united action by the international community and the Ethiopian government would lay the groundwork. Donors have pledged some US $3.6 billion in support of the country's poverty reduction strategy (IRIN, 12 December 2002).
In January it was announced that Canada, through CIDA, will contribute an additional $40 million for emergency assistance in Ethiopia. Details of Canada's donations and response initiatives are summarised here (Government of Canada, 16 January 2003). (IRIN, 27th January 2003).
International Development Secretary Clare Short has announced that the British government will provide £122 million development assistance to Ethiopia over the next 3 years. She was in Addis to attend the African Finance Ministers' "Big Table" Conference. £60 million will be allotted for the government's budget support, £32 million for humanitarian related activities (over a one year period) and £30 million pounds for technical support. Short, was also expected to sign a memorandum of understanding with Ethiopia that will set up a 10 years development partnership (Daily Monitor, 21 January 2003).
It is likely that Britain's aid will continue to substantially increase "as long as the enabling environment remains right,"Myles Wickstead, British Ambassador in Ethiopia has stated. A move will be made to provide such aid through direct budgetary support rather than projects, though this may prove problematic due to the decentralisation process underway in the country. This will include an increase in military aid to the country and a building up of the capacity of Ethiopian troops for use in regional peacekeeping operations (IRIN, 6 January 2003).
The European Commission has prepared a Euro 70 million emergency food aid assistance programme equivalent to about 260,000 mt of cereals and will meet food aid requirements during the first half of the year 2003. Most of the funds will be allocated directly to the government and local/regional purchase of cereals -whenever possible - will be given preference. Part of this allocation will also be made available for food aid distribution through national and international NGOs (Addis Tribune, 13 December 2002)(IRIN, 10 December, 2002)
.In December the Ethiopian Evangelical Church Mekane Yesus (EECMY) started distributing 23.7 mt of a supplementary food called famix, medicines, medical equipment and items such as soaps, cups and plates to people who have been displaced by the drought and lack of food in the Oromiya region. Health workers have been assigned by the local health office to provide health and sanitation services to the internally displaced people (IDPs) in cooperation with the EECMY relief team (UNDP-EUE, 17 January 2003).
EECMY are working with other members of Action by Churches Together (ACT-International) which also includes Norwegian Church Aid (NCA) and Christian Aid. They are working to bring relief to about 34,000 internally displaced people currently living in Showa camp (African Church Information Service, 21 January, 2003).
Washington has pledged 262,000 tonnes of food aid to Ethiopia &endash; Bush states that he is deeply concerned about the situation there (AFP, 18 January 2003).
Andrew Nasios, the USAID administrator, said that now is the time to invest in agricultural development and to increase trade with other countries which will help to avoid the cycle of famine persisting in Ethiopia from getting worse and worse (Daily Monitor, 21 January 2003).
The US government's FEWS NET has said that Ethiopia should pledge more food to show "leadership and commitment" in tackling the drought. In the 2000 drought, the Ethiopian government pledged 100,000 mt of food, whilst in 2002 it has committed 47,000 mt (IRIN, 12 December 2002).
The International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), Washington, has suggested that inefficiency in the Ethiopia's grain market system has resulted in low productivity that is exacerbating the current famine. It is estimated that only a quarter of the food produced in Ethiopia reaches markets. Weak agricultural commercialisation implies that most of Ethiopia's population remain rooted in subsistence economy and that domestic markets operate at high costs, volatile prices and low volumes. Farmers in Ethiopia receive a mere one-third of the final price, compared to Asian farmers who get 70 to 80%. The high costs of transport and handling are also passed on directly to the final consumer. The study revealed that the marketing chain often took 20 to 30 days to go from producers to consumers, which, otherwise, could take 2 to 3 days, if there were enough road infrastructure available (Addis Tribune, 24 January 2003).
Ireland's Minister of State with responsibility for Overseas Development and Human Rights, Mr. Tom Kitt T.D. made a four-day visit to Ethiopia in January. The purpose of Tom Kitt's visit was to view directly the extent of the food emergency facing Ethiopia at this time and to determine how Ireland can continue to optimally respond to the ongoing crisis. Ireland contributed 21.56 million birr in food aid and emergency drought assistance to Ethiopia in 2002 (Addis Tribune, 17 January 2003).
Remarks made by Tom Kitt to the Irish Foreign Affairs Committee concerning the food security crisis in southern Africa can be found here (Government of Ireland, 18 December 2002).
The Arab League has said that it was shocked by the periodic drought that had occurred in Ethiopia in the last three decades. Meanwhile, the Secretariat General of the League of Arab States has contributed US 50,000 dollars towards the alleviation of the current famine (Addis Tribune, 10 January, 2003)
It has been suggested that ethnic conflicts are on the increase in Ethiopia. However considering the country's administrative structures are drawn along ethnic lines, and that most decisions are made along the government's dictates of ethnic politics, this is by no means something totally unexpected. Many warned against the dangerous consequences of ethnic politics when the current government came to power. Recently ethnic conflicts have been seen in the regions of Gambella, Somali and Afar (Addis Tribune, 24 January 2003).
For example dozens of people have been killed amid spiralling ethnic clashes between rival groups in Gambella Region, on the border with Sudan. Much of the fighting has been between the Nuer who live close to the Ethio-Sudan border and are pastoralists and the Anyuaa, or Anuak, tribe. Several factors have been blamed for the clashes including control over scarce natural resources such as water and grazing land; the question of majority population in the region and what language should be taught in school; and a general feeling or apprehension among Anyuaa that they are being dominated by the pastoralist Nuers who enter Anyuaa territory in search of grazing land and water (IRIN, 24 January, 2003).
Tribal fighting in Afar, sparked by the severe drought, is believed to have left as many as 40 people dead. The clashes, which occurred near Fentale in eastern Ethiopia, broke out after Afar pastoralists moved into Kereyou territory to graze their animals (IRIN, 8 January, 2003).
The UN's EUE has said relaxing border controls in the east may help struggling pastoralists in their fight against the drought. For example, the unit said that the "crackdown" on contraband in the border area of drought-stricken Shinile Zone, Somali region in particular, might have created additional problems to the stresses present due to the current drought and food insecurity (IRIN, 7 January, 2003).
A Human Rights Watch report states that the Ethiopian government is muzzling educators and students with a policy of harsh repression that includes extrajudicial killings, arbitrary arrests, and widespread denials of freedom of opinion and association. As an important strategic ally in the U.S.-led war on terror because of its position in the Horn of Africa, Ethiopia has escaped international censure for many of these violations. The 52-page report, "Lessons in Repression: Violations of Academic Freedom in Ethiopia," documents an ongoing pattern of impunity among federal and state security forces accused of using excessive lethal force to disperse protests by unarmed high school students and other civilians (Human Rights Watch, New York, January 24 2003).
A series of meetings took place between the government (including at times, Prime Minister Meles), opposition parties, the private sector and civil society groups. Amongst other things the opposition groups criticised the lack of reform on land issues, the government's economic policies, the agriculture-based industrial development plan and the questions over the existence of a free and independent justice system (IRIN, 17 December 2002),
The Ethiopian Free Press Journalists' Association (EFJA) has condemned as "draconian", draft press regulations newly released by the government. The organisation says the law - which could come into force later this year - exposes journalists to heavy fines and imprisonment "under the guise of a code of ethics…Members of the Ethiopia free press have undergone great sufferings under the repressive press law and civil and criminal laws that have been in force since the last 40 years". Reporters have been harassed, intimidated and sometimes imprisoned, it said, adding that a newly-imposed value added tax on newspapers had also hit the industry which is desperate for funds. The new law has also been criticised by the International Federation of Journalists (IRIN, 23 January, 2003)(Addis Tribune, 17 January 2003)
Despite this, visiting members of the International Media Support (IMS) said that developments in Ethiopia's freedom of press showed encouraging progress compared to what was prevailing a few years ago. However, they expressed their concern that much more had to be done to make the progress complete, for example the establishment of independent radio stations. And they mentioned the significant role played by independent radio stations in Democratic Republic of Congo and Somalia in facilitating the peace processes and in developing democracy and good governance there (Addis Tribune, 13 December 2002) (Daily Monitor, 12 December 2002)
It is estimated that 2.2 million people (2 million adults and 200,000 children) live with HIV/AIDS in Ethiopia. The figures are provided by the "AIDS in Ethiopia" report released in December. The authors put the 2001 estimate of HIV prevalence in Ethiopia at 6.6 percent. Of the 2.2 million, about 10 percent (219,000 people) are full-blown AIDS cases. Other studies also reveal that about one million children in Ethiopia have been orphaned by the pandemic (Addis Tribune, 27 December 2002).
A quarter of children in Ethiopia could be orphaned by the HIV/AIDS virus within eight years, experts warned at an HIV/AIDS conference held in Addis Ababa (IRIN, January 13, 2003).
Meanwhile, the first HIV/AIDS resource centre which will provide up-to-date and accurate information on HIV/AIDS for various stakeholders working on the area, has been opened. Services at the counter include a comprehensive multi-media reference collection, high-speed computer terminals with Internet access, audiovisual equipment and databases of local and international HIV/AIDS organisations and funding opportunities. According to the coordinators, the centre is free to users affiliated with any government agency, media organisations or NGOs, working on HIV/AIDS issues. They also said that once the centre is fully operational, centre partners are considering expanding to other regional sites. There are also plans for an expanded audio-visual unit, additional databases, and a national HIV/AIDS telephone hotline (Addis Tribune, 13 December 2002).
The EU has launched an initiative to break the current WTO (World Trade Organisation) deadlock on developing countries' access to affordable medicines. Though all WTO Members agree that diseases including HIV/AIDS, malaria and tuberculosis should not be affected by WTO constraints, a solution still needs to be found for other public health problems. In its proposal the EU suggests that Members wishing to import medicines to meet any public health concern not explicitly covered in an initial list be encouraged to seek WHO advice. The WHO, with its global health expertise in assessing developing countries' public health concerns, would be entrusted with assessing the occurrence of such situations and making recommendations. Involving the WHO with its public health expertise would provide a mechanism to ensure the Doha Declaration can be used in good faith (Addis Tribune, 17 January 2003).
Ethiopia has submitted an initial application to join the WTO. Inclusion often requires some fundamental changes in the way governments regulate international business. For a number of reasons, these changes are difficult, they are typically making the economy more open to international market competition, lowering tariffs, making changes to strengthen international property protection and to open up the investment regime. (Addis Tribune, January 24, 2003).
The head of the World Bank in Ethiopia urged a greater role for private industry as the country was pledged US $3.6 billion towards tackling poverty. The money was pledged during the fourth Consultative Group meeting between the Bank, UNDP, donor nations and the Ethiopian government. The funds will be in the form of grants and loans and will support the country's three-year Sustainable Development and Poverty Reduction Programme (IRIN, 10 December 2002)(The Daily Monitor, 9 December 2002).
Ethiopia is to import oil from Sudan, which could save the country up to US $7 million per year, the Ethiopian Petroleum Enterprise has announced. Some 50 percent of Ethiopia's export earnings are spent on serving the nation's demands from fuel. The Ethiopian Petroleum Enterprise is the only organisation that supplies oil in Ethiopia, storing the oil in Djibouti. General Manager Yigzaw Mekonnen said the country must look towards diversification by not relying on a single port like Djibouti. Currently Ethiopia imports around two million tons of oil, costing around US $221 a year - mainly from Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states. It is expected that a total of US $7 million each year can be saved by Ethiopia in shipping the oil through Sudan (Addis Tribune, 10 January, 2003).
Nestle has backed down from its demand that the Ethiopian government pay it $6 million in compensation for a business nationalised by the previous Mengistu Haile Mariam's regime 27 years ago. Faced with unprecedented protest - 40,000 people wrote letters to the company complaining - it has decided to accept the $1.5 million cash settlement originally offered by the current government. Further, the company has promised to donate the money for hunger relief (The East African, 27 January 2003) (The Nation, 8 January, 2003). (Addis Tribune, 27 December 2002).
Conflicts have been increasing between government authorities and staff and students from Addis Ababa University. At the end of December a new president and two new vice presidents were appointed by the government to replace those who had recently resigned following disagreements over the method of the evaluation of the academic staff and other administrative matters with government officials (Addis Tribune, 3 January, 2003).
It had been proposed by the government that students should evaluate their instructors through "gimgema" sessions which teachers felt were an unnecessary interference in their activities (Addis Tribune, 27 December 2003)(Addis Tribune, 13 December 2002).
It is suggested that the recent events at AAU point to a troubling development of failure to respect and protect academic freedom which is the foundation of any true university (Addis Tribune, 3 January 2003).
Two separate but concurrent incidents unfolded themselves in late 2002 in Makalle and Addis Ababa which have raised concern in regard to religious tolerance and the meddling by the security forces in spiritual affairs. The crisis at the Lideta Church in Addis Ababa now in its second month, is over who should administer the place of worship. In Makalle, followers of the Good Gospel Church were holding a religious meeting at the town's stadium. Complaints concerning noise levels from the stadium instigated a conflict with police authorities. Throughout the country as a whole there appears to be increasing competition between religions (Addis Tribune, 3 January 2003).
The physical demarcation process between the Ethiopian and Eritrean border is planned to commence in May 2003. Demining continues to take place in the area. However the UN's peacekeeping mission in Ethiopia and Eritrea is facing a cash shortfall which may delay border demarcation. A number of countries that have pledged money for the demarcation process have not followed them up with the cash (IRIN, 10 January, 2003) (The Daily Monitor, 26 January, 2003) (IRIN, 17 January, 2003)(UNMEE, January 10, 2003)(Addis Tribune, 3 January 2003)
 Eritrea
Eritrea's food crisis is expected to worsen quickly unless rapid action is taken. FEWS has said that Eritrea is reeling from severe shocks to its asset base, already undermined by years of conflict and drought, as well as pervasive poverty. In addition the declining value of the nakfa and limited foreign exchange reserves have eroded the country's ability to finance imports or reconstruct war-damaged infrastructure. It is estimated that 1.4 million people - over a third of the population &endash; are directly affected by drought, and this number is set to increase this year. More than two thirds of the population require food and non-food aid (IRIN, 8 January, 2003).
The European Commission is currently preparing a US$10 million (40,000 Mt) emergency food aid assistance programme to be adopted before the end of the year. This comes in addition to the assistance already provided during the last quarter of 2002 (US$5.8 million 15.000 Mt). Member States are bilaterally providing US$10.2 million in humanitarian aid and food aid in response to the present crisis in Eritrea, bringing the total EU amount to US$26 million. The 40,000 Mt of cereals will be allocated directly to the Eritrean Relief and Refugees Commission (ERREC), thus complementing its distribution plans in the country (European Commission, 17 December, 2002)(IRIN, 18 December, 2002).
In Anseba region farmers have reported a lack of feed and substantial loss of livestock which has provoked large scale selling of their animals. A Drought Committee has been formed by the National Union of Eritrean Women in Anseba that will visit the most vulnerable areas across the region to determine the impact of the drought on women there (WFP, 24 January).
Population movements have occurred in the Debub region. In the Gash Barka sub regions of Gogne and Haikota. Local administrators indicated that the small yield from the harvest had now been consumed; the majority of families are relying entirely on WFP food aid and other coping strategies such as the sale of livestock to meet their primary food needs (WFP, 24 January).
OCHA has organised a meeting between key donors and Ethiopian and Eritrean Government officials on 22 January in Geneva. The purpose of the meeting was to alert donors of the deepening drought crisis and reinforce the need for a rapid, coordinated response (WFP, 10 January).
WFP has warned there will not be enough food supplies to care for the one million Eritreans needing aid in the coming months. WFP said it had only received US $9 million of food and cash contributions against a request last month for US $105 million. "Unless firm donations are urgently made within the next few weeks, there will be a break in supply from April onwards," the statement warned. In mid-December UNICEF warned that 2.8 million Eritreans - over half the population - were experiencing pre-famine conditions. A statistical analysis conducted by the UNICEF in the last six months indicates that 2.8 million Eritreans - over half the population - are experiencing pre-famine conditions. One-fifth of the population is immediately confronting food shortages that are leading to critical levels of malnutrition among children. Conditions are particularly critical in three of six provinces in the country, Anseba, in the northern centre of the country, Gash Barka, in the west, and Northern Red Sea in the northeast. (IRIN, 21 December 2002) (IRIN, 27 December 2002).
Eritrea is seeing a convergence of many factors that have led to heightened food insecurity across all livelihood groups &endash; insufficient and sporadic rainfall; the aftermath of conflict; and dramatic economic deterioration. Female-headed households, children and agro-pastoralists are particularly vulnerable. The current harvest will be exhausted early in 2003 while the value of livestock, weakened by a shortage of water and fodder, is expected to fall further with increased distress sales. Supplies of drinking water for human consumption could reach critically low levels early this year. According to latest surveys, 15-20% of children under 5 years (at least 88,000 children of those surveyed) are currently malnourished and 10,000 are severely malnourished, requiring immediate nutritional support. A single shock, such as drought alone, would not necessarily push rural households into food insecurity. However, the cumulative impact of previous shocks has severely weakened household resilience to cope with another year of drought.
WFP plans to support 600,000 drought-affected people in 2003 through an Emergency Operation. This still leaves considerable need for bilateral and other support. Needs of other groups can be met through non-emergency assistance. For example, WFP plans to support 278,700 IDPs, returnees, expellees and demobilised soldiers through a Protracted Relief and Recovery Operation, with other structured programs for school feeding and training.
To avoid a rapid deterioration in food availability and access in view of limited food resources, FEWS NET urges rapid action on the following recommendations:
- WFP and food aid donors must step up their pledges and deliveries of emergency food aid to meet immediate food needs (about 24,000 mt per month for the drought-affected population alone), as well as nutritionally fortified foods for supplementary and therapeutic feeding programs.
- The GSE, concerned donors and NGOs carry out urgently needed interventions in the livestock sector to save household assets and protect livelihoods.
- Donors should mobilise support for UNICEF and the GSE to rehabilitate key water resources, as outlined in the UN Consolidated Appeal for 2003.
- Concerned donors and NGOs need to work with the National Food Information System (NFIS) to collect crucially needed baseline information on Eritrea's main livelihood groups (USAID, 3 January 2003).
 
In an interview, CARE's East African regional programme coordinator states that the mounting food-security crisis in the Horn of Africa has largely been overshadowed in the media by other crises. He said Eritrea's plight was particularly dire, given the proportion of the country's population likely to be affected (AlertNet, 27 Jan 2003).
Eritrea has joined the Arab League as an observer and is to send an ambassador to the pan-Arab body. The Arab League welcomed Eritrea's decision as "a positive sign of the deepening relations between Eritrea and the Arab states". In the Horn of Africa, Somalia and Djibouti are both full-fledged members of the League (Addis Tribune, 17 January 2003).
The deadline for the cessation of refugee status for Eritreans expired on 31 December. As a result there was a pick-up in registration. The majority of the refugees are in Sudan from where a total of 103,000 refugees, out of over 320,000 in Sudan, have returned since May 2001. Last May, UNHCR announced that the group refugee status for Eritreans who fled their country as a result of the independence war or the recent border conflict with Ethiopia would end on 31 December 2002. It said the root causes of the Eritrean refugee problem no longer existed (IRIN, 2 January 2003).

 

 

Return to Headlines.

 

Somalia
The UN's World Food Programme (WFP) has condemned Somali groups for obstructing its efforts to deliver relief food to southern Somalia. Various local authorities and militiamen have been imposing "major obstacles" to its transportation which have been severely delayed. The first food convoy since June arrived in Baidoa (Bakol region) in December - it had taken 21 days, rather than the usual 3. (IRIN, 4 December, 2002)(WFP, 3 December, 2002)
Food stocks in Baidoa were exhausted in September, and the lack of renewed food supplies over many months has seriously compromised the food security of the poorest people in the area. Food aid is currently being distributed in the Bay and Bakool regions to Mother and Child Health Centres (MCH), where WFP provides food rations to poor families with malnourished children, reaching some 9,600 beneficiaries. Food is also being distributed in support of community based FFW projects, benefiting some 12,000 people involved in rehabilitation projects, such as the construction of water catchments.
Southern Somalia in general suffers from chronic food insecurity. This year, in the Bakool region, the main harvest was down by more than half its pre-war level. Perpetual food shortages are further aggravated by the prevailing insecurity. Food and relief assistance in general is critical over the months ahead, until at least the next harvest in January. WFP plans to send another convoy with some 700 tons of relief food within the next couple of weeks. Cooperation from authorities is crucial to maintain the provision of live-saving food assistance.(WFP, 6 December, 2002)
UN agencies and their partners in Somalia are appealing to donors for some US$78 million for the year 2003, for a variety of emergency, recovery, and development projects in the country. The 2003 Consolidated Inter-Agency Appeal for Somalia, launched in Nairobi, contained 56 projects from14 UN agencies and three NGOs. The humanitarian and recovery effort in Somalia aims to improve food security, health and sanitation, and protect and assist vulnerable communities, such as returning refugees, displaced populations and minorities.
It is estimated that 750,000 Somalis are "chronically vulnerable", and of these about 350,000 are internally displaced, the highest concentration of whom - 150,000 - being in the capital, Mogadishu. One of every four Somali children die before reaching the age of 5 years, while in some areas child malnutrition rates have reached 39 percent. Three-quarters of the Somali population have no access to safe water, while half live without access to sanitation.(IRIN, 28 November, 2002)
MSF has criticised the international community and the warring factions for its neglect of the Somali people. The disengagement of the international community since the failure of the UN military mission 10 years ago has been slow but steady. The number of international aid agencies working in Somalia has dropped from over 200 in 1992 to 61 today. Meanwhile, donor funding has dropped by 90% over the same period. The needs of the people continue unabated, far exceeding the operational capacity of all aid agencies currently working in Somalia put together. After twelve years of conflict and anarchy the Somali people are in more need of help than ever. MSF calls on the warring factions to respect International Humanitarian Law, which demands that civilians are protected from violence and helped to get the medical care and supplies they so desperately need.(MSF, 9 December, 2002)
'Flash' flooding has occurred in the Juba Valley of southern Somalia due to early 'deyr' rains (September-December). The most affected areas are around Buale in the Middle Juba region, and Hagar and Afmadow in the Lower Juba region.(IRIN, 18 November, 2002)
Somalia's Transitional National Government (TNG) and five Mogadishu-based factions signed a joint ceasefire declaration at the beginning of December committing themselves to ending violence in the Somali capital. They also committed themselves to fighting bandits and armed militias who have been killing and abducting innocent people. However still, there are a number of factions who still refuse to talk and/or are be party to the treaty. As a result these factions can stand ominously in its way.(IRIN, 3 December, 2002)(The Nation, 6 December, 2002)
The Somalia National Peace and Reconciliation Conference has now entered a crucial second phase that could result in the creation of an all-inclusive legitimate government in the country. Six committees (of various experts and faction representatives) have been formed to address core issues, including federalism and a provisional charter for the war-ravaged country as well issues such as demobilisation, land and property rights, institution building and conflict resolution/reconciliation. No time frame has yet been given for the second phase.(IRIN, 26 November, 2002)(The Nation, 2 December, 2002)
The talks are being attended by 400 participants. There has been conflict over these should be. The solution reached was to include participants according to membership of clans and blood networks drawn from 'political groups' and civil society. And 42 of the conference seats have been reserved for minority groups. The Eldoret talks, mediated by the regional IGAD, is the 16th such Somali peace parley since the country slid into anarchy and clan warfare following the overthrow of dictator Mohamed Siad Barre in 1991. The conference is being attended by the largely impotent Somali Transitional National Government (TNG), armed factions, regional administrations, elders, women groups and professionals. It aims to end decades of anarchic violence and establish structures to pave way for the formation of a national government. The first phase started on October 15 and ended on October 27 with an agreement to cease all hostilities and a signing of a commitment to ban the use of landmines.(AFP, 20 November, 2002)(IRIN, 20 November, 2002)(East African Standard, 20 November, 2002)(IRIN, 21 November, 2002)(IRIN, 13 November, 2002)(UN OCHA, 28 October, 2002)
Despite the 'progress' of the peace process it still faces considerable difficulties. A combination of mismanagement, regional rivalry, insufficient outside political support and financial constraints have brought the talks to the verge of collapse several times. Somali delegates are frustrated and disillusioned with the lack of progress that followed the Declaration. Donor representatives express deep misgivings. (ICG, 9 December, 2002)
Somali faction leaders have appealed to the international community to hasten the Eldoret peace process to enable Somalia to establish a government in a bid to fight terrorism.(The East African Standard, 30 November, 2002)
Fighting is still taking place despite the peace talks. At least 15 people were killed and 25 wounded after heavy clashes erupted in southern Somalia at the end of October. The fighting took place in Luq, in southern Gedo region, and involved rival factions of the Somali National Front.(AFP, 29 October, 2002)
More than 800 refugees from Somalia and other African countries have arrived in Yemen in the last few weeks where they have been admitted to refugee camps.(AFP, 21 November, 2002)
The interim chairman of the African Union (AU), Amara Essy, has appointed a special envoy for Somalia. The appointment comes within the framework of enhancing the AU's role in conflict resolution in Africa. The envoy, Mr Foum, will liase with the countries of the region, with IGAD and with the AU.(IRIN, 22 November, 2002)
There are warnings that rinderpest is on the verge of spreading from its last stronghold in northeastern Kenya and southern Somalia.(IRIN, 21 November, 2002)
Municipal elections are scheduled for December 15, 2002 in Somaliland. National presidential elections must occur by January 23, 2003, unless the House of Elders authorises an extension. Parliamentary elections are slated for May 2003. These will be the first multiparty elections since 1969 and the first occasion that Somaliland women will be able to vote.(Addis Tribune, 29 November, 2002)
Tension is rising in Sool and Sanaag regions of the self-declared republic of Somaliland, to which both Somaliland and the self-declared autonomous region of Puntland have laid claim. This began when Somaliland elders went to the Sool regional capital to reconcile two feuding clans found in the area. On 23 November the Puntland leader Colonel Abdullahi Yusuf, decided to send a high level delegation to the two regions. This has added to the tensions in the area. (IRIN, 25 November, 2002)

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Sudan
Most of southern Sudan can expect below normal crop yields as a result of erratic rainfall and insecurity. According to preliminary forecasts based on the WFP-led multi-agency Annual Needs Assessment (ANA), more than half a million people are likely to become highly food insecure, particularly in the most critical areas of Gogrial, Aweil West, Pibor, Torit, Latjor, Bieh, Ruweng and Liech. Both long- and short-term recommendations have been made.(USAID, FEWS-NET, 28 November, 2002)(USAID, FEWS-NET, 20 November, 2002)
A Sudanese government agency has predicted that there will be food shortages in parts of western, southern and eastern Sudan as a result of the drought that has lasted three successive years. Food shortages are expected in pockets of Darfur (in the west), Kordofan (in the centre), Bahr el-Ghazal (in the south), and in the Red Sea State (in the east). (AFP, 10 November, 2002)
MSF is closing feeding centres in Tanyang, Dirror District, Sudan. A nutritional survey in October showed that malnutrition rates fell from 40% global and 10% severe levels in May to 20% global and 2% severe malnutrition rates currently. The October figures constitute what is considered 'normal' levels of malnourishment in Sudan.(MSF, 18 November, 2002)
Representatives from both the Sudanese government and the SPLM/A are expected to visit the United States in mid-December at the invitation of President George Bush's government. They will brief US government officials on the progress of the latest round of peace talks held under the auspices of the Inter-Governmental Authority on Development (IGAD), which this month wound up in Machakos, Kenya.(IRIN, 28 November, 2002)(African Church Information Service, 25 November, 2002)
On October 21st the US President Bush signed the Sudan Peace Act which seeks to facilitate a comprehensive solution to the war in Sudan. (US Dept. of State, 21 October, 2002)
He also called for sanctions on Khartoum if he finds the government is not negotiating in good faith with southern rebels. However the Act has been criticised by the Khartoum government as being biased and failing to find agreement on power- and resource sharing.(AFP, 20 November, 2002)
During the Machakos Peace talks, which ended on 18 November, the Sudan government and the SPLA/M agreed on a broad set of principles, which included the extension of a countrywide ceasefire and humanitarian access to vulnerable populations in disputed regions of southern Sudan until March 2003. They also signed an accord outlining the broad principles on which a post-conflict government would be based. Both sides emphasised their commitment to achieving a just and comprehensive peaceful atmosphere as early as possible. In a Memorandum Of Understanding (MOU) signed between the Khartoum government and SPLM/A, and witnessed by IGAD, the parties reaffirmed their commitment to the Machakos Protocol of last July 20, which stipulated that unity shall be the priority of the parties during the interim period. The talks are expected to resume in January, but a date has yet to be set. (IRIN, 28 November, 2002)(African Church Information Service, 25 November, 2002)(The Nation, 19 November, 2002)(IRIN, 19 November, 2002)(Allafrica.com, 18 November, 2002)(AFP, 3 November, 2002)
An appeal has been launched for humanitarian assistance for IDPs in north eastern Kassala state. It responds to calls from local community leaders and from NGOs and INGOs who have on-going assistance programmes in the area. The Flash Appeal seeks US$ 346,700 to provide essential non-food assistance to 12,000 displaced persons in Kassala for a period of three months.(UN OCHA, 24 November, 2002)
The chance that a lasting peace agreement between the Sudanese government and southern rebels could be struck in early 2003 means humanitarian actors should be prepared in case an "enormous humanitarian undertaking" is needed, the United Nations stated as it launched its US $255 million appeal for Sudan. While a peace deal would not immediately end Sudan's chronic "humanitarian disaster", it would make "new opportunities to support the people of Sudan and create the welcome challenge of moving from humanitarian relief to rehabilitation and rebuilding". The UN's 2003 appeal comprises 64 projects totalling US$255 million form 9 UN agencies, the International Organisation for Migration and 9 NGOs. The projects are designed to meet four key objectives in 2003: saving lives and reducing human suffering; provision of essential basic social services; building capacity and resilience; and strengthening protection and grassroots peace-building mechanisms.
Funding of food aid had fallen significantly in 2002, and there are insufficient stocks to sustain operations beyond a four-month period to meet minimum daily requirements of the most critically affected populations and to provide a buffer for early 2003. In addition, the water and sanitation and health sectors, which were normally assigned high priority for donors, remained "dangerously under-funded".(IRIN, 19 November, 2002)
The WFP has already resumed food deliveries to some 66,000 people in the Sobat region of Sudan after a three-year interruption. WFP spokeswoman Christiane Berthiaume said relations with the Sudan government had improved in a "quite remarkable way" after the signing on October 26 of the agreement on access for humanitarian aid. The WFP operation in the Sobat region of central eastern Sudan should last two weeks. With the resumption of food deliveries, WFP believes it will be able to help half a million more people in addition to the three million it already helps in Sudan.(AFP, 3 December, 2002)
Most recently, USAID contributed 46,030 mt of food assistance. They have estimated that in 2003 there will be 2 million Sudanese requiring food aid, needing an approximate total of 300,000 mt. (USAID, 3 December, 2002)(USAID, 2 December, 2002)
The International Crisis Group (ICG) has published a new report, "Ending Starvation as a Weapon of War in Sudan". It highlights the sordid history of the use of starvation as a weapon of war and the importance of the current peace process. A mid-December meeting is planned between the UN and Sudan's warring parties. The report suggests that the Technical Committee for Humanitarian Assistance (TCHA) provides an unparalleled vehicle to build on recent short-term agreements and to once and for all remove the institutional barriers to unimpeded access for humanitarian agencies. Such an opportunity may not arise again, so it is imperative that mediators, the UN Security Council, and interested governments provide concentrated and immediate support for this objective. (ICG, 15 November, 2002)
After suffering decades of civil war, recurrent drought and widespread inter-ethnic conflict, Sudan now hosts the largest number of internally displaced persons (IDPs) in the world - some 4 million people. The main cause of this unparalleled level of displacement has been, and continues to be, the civil war.
Despite this there are no official government policies dealing explicitly with the treatment of IDPs. In addition, the UN Guiding Principles on Internal Displacement have not been officially endorsed by the government's Humanitarian Aid Commission (HAC). However, it has been suggested that at least half of the Guiding Principles are already covered under Shari'ah (Islamic law). With this in mind, research is under way to find ways of integrating fully as many of the Guiding Principles as possible into Shari'ah.
In recent months, attention in the south has been focused on the oil-rich region of western Upper Nile, where an escalation of fighting in 2002 has heightened fears that the already grave levels of displacement could worsen. Religious and human rights groups have accused government forces of provoking mass displacements of civilians in order to secure areas for oil exploration. The peace process offers some hope for these IDPs.(IRIN, 14 November, 2002)
There are an estimated 4 million people displaced inside Sudan, over 10% of the total population. In Khartoum alone, the estimated number of IDPs stands at 500,000. Although agencies have been assisting them for many years, no real data exists about who they are, where they come from and their future needs. IOM has been invited by the UN to coordinate a study of the IDPs living in and around Khartoum. The surveys are being carried out by the international NGOs CARE and CONCERN and by national NGOs in cooperation with the Government of Sudan.(IOM, 29 November, 2002)
CWS is responding to one part of the crisis by supporting the Sudan Council of Churches (SCC), which is assisting the recently displaced people in the Juba area who fled there during the fighting over the symbolically important town of Torit. The town was taken over by the guerrillas on September 1, but the government militia and army recaptured and regained control of the town a week later. The fighting for the town caused a massive movement of people from Torit to Juba. The SCC estimates approximately 11,570 people were displaced. (Church World Service, 3 December, 2002)
In what is seen as a threat to neutral humanitarian aid delivery in southern Sudan, it is reported that Kenyan President Daniel Arap Moi and the Sudan's National Islamic Front (NIF) have negotiated a deal whereby a NIF consular/intelligence presence would be established at Lokichokio (northern Kenya). This is the centre of humanitarian relief efforts for southern Sudan. Moi apparently got substantial monies from the NIF for campaign purposes in Kenya's upcoming presidential election. It is further alleged that Sudanese President Omar Beshir declared to Moi that Khartoum's generals had demanded such a presence in "exchange" for permitting the cease-fire agreement (and thus the Machakos peace process) to continue. Questions are raised as to whether the US and the UN will show sufficient resolve to protect the integrity of Lokichokio as the venue for the UN's Operation Lifeline Sudan. Here, the Republican takeover of the senate could become a factor. (Business Day, 26 November, 2002)
Sudan's warring parties have accused each other of arming and supporting the Lord's Resistance Army (LRA), the insurgent group who are waging war against the Ugandan government from hideouts inside Sudan. The latest accusations follow the extension of a military protocol signed in March between Sudan and Uganda, which allows the Ugandan army to hunt down the LRA in southern Sudan.(IRIN, 4 December, 2002)(The Monitor, 3 December, 2002)
Sudan and Uganda have now signed the renewal of the protocol to hunt LRA leader Joseph Kony and his rebels. The protocol has been extended by 2 months to the end of January. The Ugandan People's Defence Forces (UPDF) will be allowed access to Sudanese territory as far as "four degrees latitude north", thereby defining a region which is also subject to agreements on humanitarian access between the Khartoum government and the UN. Any military operation north of this area can only be mounted in close coordination with the Sudanese army. Meanwhile, the Ugandan army has offered a reward of US $11,000 for information leading to the capture or killing of Joseph Kony. The renewal of the protocol overturns the decision made by Sudan earlier in the month not to allow Ugandan troops to continue because of the failure of the Ugandan government to the specify time needed. Also the Ugandan government had accused the Sudanese of actually supporting Kony.(IRIN, 3 December, 2002)(New Vision, 2 December, 2002)(New Vision, 27 November, 2002)(IRIN, 25 November, 2002)(The Monitor, 23 November, 2002)(IRIN, 20 November, 2002)(IRIN, 18 November, 2002)
Meanwhile Uganda has reiterated her stand not to offer any support to the SPLA as stipulated in articles 1 and 4 of the 1999 Nairobi Agreement.(New Vision, 3 December, 2002)
A plan by the rebel SPLM/A to introduce a new currency in the territories it controls will hurt the country's peace process, a senior Sudanese diplomat has said. The SPLM/A recently announced that it was planning to introduce its own currency for southern Sudan in December. The currency, known as the "New Sudan Pound", is part of a plan to introduce a suitable secular financial system for the non-Muslim southern part of the country, as opposed to the Islamic Sharia system being utilised in the north.(IRIN, 2 December, 2002)
17 women in Munwashi, tried for adultery, have been sentenced to 100 lashes of the whip each. The charges of adultery were based solely on the fact that all of the women are unmarried but have children between the ages of 6 and 12 months. On 12, 14 and 20 November, the women were tried by Muhaakama Ijaaziya courts, which are reportedly in violation of internationally accepted fair trial standards notably in the way they carry out summary trials. Previously this year, 2 other women were similarly punished by the Special Court in Nyala having been charged with adultery. In both cases, the sentence was carried out on the same day as the conviction and no men were charged or punished.(WOAT, 26 November, 2002)
25 University of Khartoum students have been injured, at least 11 of whom were subsequently arrested and reportedly tortured. In addition at least another 9 students have been arrested in other parts of Sudan. The arrests were in response to a student strike in protest against attacks on student demonstrators by security forces on 22 October, 2002, and against the banning of Khartoum University Students Union (KUSU). All the faculties of Khartoum University have been instructed by the authorities to close indefinitely. In another incident on 13 November, student hostels at Shampat were raided. As a result least 11 students were admitted to hospital after being seriously injured and again arrests were made. (WOAT, 20 November, 2002)
The US has criticised Sudan's human rights record.(US Department of State, 21 November, 2002)
A book has been published by Operation Lifeline Sudan (UN) which chronicles the extent of hardships southern Sudanese women face as a result of the 19-year civil war - "Throwing the stick forward: the impact of war on southern Sudanese women". The book contains detailed accounts of the abductions, rape, displacements and fear women affected by the civil are regularly exposed to. It documents Sudanese women's daily fight for survival in a harsh environment.(OCHA, 12 November, 2002)
A serious bout of the deadly kala azar disease (symptomised by acute fever), which hit parts of southern Sudan about six weeks ago, is now reaching alarming levels. According to MSF, more than 1,000 patients are currently undergoing treatment, and the figure is likely to increase.(African Church Information Service, 18 November, 2002)

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Kenya
Fifteen people were killed in a terrorist attack on an Israeli owned hotel in Mombasa on November 28. Human Righs Watch have said that they think that Kenyan police appear to be using the November 28 attacks to justify a crackdown on refugees living in Nairobi. Since November 29, the police have conducted three large raids and dozens of arbitrary arrests against refugees from Ethiopia, Somalia, Sudan and the Democratic Republic of Congo in several neighborhoods of Nairobi
Similar crackdowns against refugees occurred in September 1998, in October 2001, twice in February 2001, and in May 2002. In the aftermath of the Mombasa attacks and in the lead-up to Kenya's elections later this month, Human Rights Watch called on the Kenyan police to stop arbitrarily arresting and detaining refugees and otherwise violating their human rights.(Human Rights Watch 6 Dec 2002)
Over 242,800 people are threatened with severe hunger in West Pokot and Turkana in the mainly arid- and semi-arid districts of Northern Kenya.
With close co-ordination, ANF commissioned a consultant to evaluate the drought situation, who carried out a Rapid Appraisal exercise, covering West Pokot and Turkana districts between 11th to 22nd November 2002. The appraisal results were as follows:
West Pokot
 a. This season's rainfall amounts and distribution was the worst ever experienced in the District since 1984. The amount received was neither adequate to neither sustain planted food crops nor support the regeneration of pasture and browse for livestock. This has led to a near total crop failure with mixed farming zones realising less than 10% food harvest.
 b. During this year's harvest season (which normally starts from September to October) the main food producing zones in the District registered a 97% drop from the normal maize production levels
 c. Further, apart from the poor rains this year, there was a decrease in acreage of arable land under maize crop occasioned by poor prices and delayed payment of delivered produce to the National Cereal and Produce Board (NCPD) by farmers last year. This affected the farmers ability to timely procure and utilise, the necessary farming inputs.
 d. With W/Pokot experiencing only one planting season per annum, failure of the rains implies food shortages will continue unless rains surfaces.
 e. Hundreds of the pastoralists and Agro pastorlists have relocated their livestock's to neighbouring Trans-Nzoia district and Uganda. Hence complicating further the household food security of the remaining family members i.e. children, women and the elderly.
Turkana
 a. Pasture availability within most dry season grazing areas is worse than normal for the season with deterioration forage for livestock. Most surface water sources are drying up forcing pastoralist communities to migrate.
 b. There is an increased number of animals offered for sale and prices have started to drop, with average sale prices of goats and sheep dropping from $US 12 during Sept to $US 9 in Oct. 2002. This downward prize trend has partly been triggered by increased prices of cereals, indicative of the significant drop in pastoralist purchasing power.
 c. Community security and peace is also threatened as large herds of livestock moving from East Baringo through West Pokot to traditional dry season grazing areas in South Turkana is frequently creating tension and conflict along the Turkana/West Pokot borders.
 d. A rapid rise in malnutrition levels in the 3 divisions of (Lokori, Kakuma and Lokitaung) is particularly severe among households that had not fully recovered from the effects of the previous droughts.
 Both the situations in West Pokot and Turkana warrants urgent humanitarian intervention. The rapid assessment has confirmed the concerns of the looming famine disaster indicated by the churches.(Action by Churches Together 5 Dec 2002)
 
A simultaneous missile attack on an Israeli charter airliner which was taking off from the Mombasa International Airport with 261 passengers on board. The missiles, however, missed the aircraft, which later landed safely in Tel Aviv.
Banditry activities have been on the rise in the pastoral districts of Northern Kenya. In Turkana and West Pokot districts, nine bandits were killed in a spate of cattle raids on November 23-24. Meanwhile, the police have stationed guards at cattle watering points along the Turkana/ West Pokot border in order to reduce friction between the two tribes at shared/disputed watering holes.
The Kenya Government and other partners are to start Food for Assets programme in six food insecure districts. Isiolo, Mandera, Turkana, Marsabit, Garissa/Wajir and Ijara will be covered by the programme.
 Five incidents of localised flooding have been reported in the country since the onset of the short rains at the beginning of November. The above normal rainfall caused two makeshift dams to collapse killing a total of 18 people in Tana River (Coastal area) and Kiambu (Central Kenya). Uncharacteristically heavy, yet poorly distributed rainfall, has been the distinguishing feature of the season in several areas of the country. Already, exceptionally heavy rainfall has caused flooding in the eastern pastoral and coastal areas of the country, reminiscent of the El Niño of 1997/98.
The World Food Programme (WFP) has issued an alert over serious food shortages for the refugee programme in Kenya. From March 2003, WFP will only be able to meet 65 per cent of commodity requirements. The project has a cumulative, un-resourced shortfall of 21,851 MT of commodities until the scheduled end of the current programme in September 2003.(UN Resident Coordinator 30 Nov 2002)
 
Kenyan President, Daniel arap Moi, has visited two opposition leaders in their London hospital. National Rainbow Coalition (Narc) leader Mwai Kibaki will presumably be further helped in his recovery by the results of an opinion poll, which predicts a landslide victory in this month's election. The poll, commissioned by a United States-based think-tank, the International Republican Institute (IRI) says that 68% of Kenyans will vote for Mr Kibaki, with just 21% supporting Uhuru Kenyatta, the candidate of the ruling Kanu party. Mr Moi is barred from standing after 24 years in power (BBC, 9 December 2002)

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 Angola
 WFP's food pipeline remains weak. The cereals pipeline is now expected to break in April followed by pulses in May. WFP has already completed the buffer stocking of January food requirements in provinces with difficult road access during the rainy season. UNHCR and WFP jointly assessed the food security situation of 6,500 Congolese refugees currently receiving food assistance in Luanda. It was agreed that assistance would continue pending the organization of a verification exercise by the end of February 2003.   WFP is boosting its presence in Zaire province with a new field office being established in M'banza Congo to allow stronger management and monitoring of WFP's programme, particularly in light of further expected refugee returns from DRC during 2003. (WFP 3 January 2003)    
Angola's leading opposition party, UNITA will hold its 9th extraordinary congress in March to solidify the ongoing reunification process.   UNITA combated the MPLA government for 27 years before signing a cease-fire agreement with Angolan Armed Forces (FAA) officials on 4 April 2002.   UNITA has 70 legislators in the Angolan parliament (PANA 6 Jan 2003).  
Angolan troops seized a " considerable quantity" of weapons in "clean-up operations" against separatist guerrillas in the oil-rich enclave of Cabinda in the last few days, the Angolan army announced. (Xinhua 2 Jan 2003.)  
The WFP announced that it was suspending delivery of humanitarian aid to some areas of Angola's northern Malange Province due to the threat of landmines.   Jonas Hifan, the WFP chief in Malange, said that the suspension affected four areas east of the provincial capital, where 4,000 people depended on food aid, local media reported.  During the past three months, explosions of three anti-tank mines in the targeted area killed 17 people and injured 12 others.   About 12 million landmines were planted in Angola's territory during the fight against Portuguese colonialism and 27 years of civil war which broke out in 1974 and ended on April this year (Xinhua 2 Jan 2003).      
 Angolan head of State, José Eduardo dos Santos, set the year 2004 as the deadline for the total integration of the victims of the country`s armed conflict into the national production process.   In a year end message to the nation, the head of State said that in the year mentioned the victims will be able to rely on their own with a view to developing their potentials of creation of wealth and generation of incomes, without depending on the national programmes and Government`s and international organisations` food aid. (Government of Angola 28 Dec 2002).      
The latest report by the Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) in Luanda has warned that the number of people requiring food assistance has reached 1.8 million and an additional 300,000 people may become food insecure in the months ahead. Credible reports indicate that as many as 200,000 vulnerable people may be in critical distress in inaccessible areas. Also cause for concern were high rates of severe malnutrition in at least 15 locations, there was also the real danger that "additional pockets [of distress] may be present in remote communities" Meanwhile, reports indicated that more than 86,400 Angolan refugees had spontaneously returned from neighbouring countries since January, primarily to Kuando Kubango, Moxico, Uíge and Zaire provinces.   "Of this number, local authorities and humanitarian partners have registered approximately 61,300 people. As many as 400,000 Angolan refugees remain in the neighbouring countries of Zambia, Namibia, Congo and the Democratic Republic of the Congo," the OCHA added (UN OCHA 24 Dec 2002).    
As of 10 December, pledges and contributions covering 61 percent of the 2002 Consolidated Appeal had been received. The most underfunded sectors include mine action, emergency response, resettlement and reintegration, education, protection and water and sanitation. For 2003, UN Agencies and NGOs are requesting approximately US$ 386 million for 166 projects. UN Agencies have identified the following priorities as necessary for meeting the Appeal's main goals and ensuring the effective functioning of the operation: a) the four core pipelines for food, non-food items, seeds and tools and essential drugs and emergency health care kits; b) mine action; c) the logistics and security framework; and d) coordination. (OCHA 19 Dec 2002).

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Zimbabwe
The absence of rain has extinguished any hope for a successful planting season. Crops that were planted in November and December are failing, if they grew from the ground at all. Rain at this stage will not undo damage that has already been done by the lack of ground moisture, and farmers giving up the idea of planting at all. Zimbabwe is plagued by drought that may not end in the near future, as the SADC has predicted below normal rainfall for the south and west of the country due to El Nino patterns. This is the second spoiled farming season this year and its consequences will not be fully realised until well into 2003.
The drought, however, has not only decimated crops, but has decimated livestock populations as well. The lack of rain in southern Zimbabwe, contributed to the death of 15,000 cattle in the region. The decimation of cattle is likely to complicate famine in Zimbabwe. Survival coping mechanisms have been extended to meet basic needs, which include the selling of remaining livestock, gold panning, an increase in black market trading, prostitution and a risky practice of consuming wild foods, which has, in some instances, led to death by poison. This precarious situation faced by many Zimbabweans is what is necessary to survive, as the goods that they need are unavailable or unattainable, with regards not only to food and farm inputs, but also to recurring fuel and other commodity shortages.
To date, approximately 6.7 million people are affected by food shortages that are attributed to the effects of President Mugabe's land reform policies in 2000, drought, and Zimbabwe's weak economy. The crisis is exacerbated by alarmingly high HIV/AIDS infection rates.(World Vision 07/01/03)(AFP 01/01/03)(USAID 20/12/02)
 

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Malawi
The most difficult season for survival has begun for Malawians in December. The period between December and April are notorious for food shortages as people struggle to the next harvest. However, flooding in early January has intensified Malawi's food shortages. In the northern district of Rumphi alone, three thousand hectares of crops were destroyed and left thousands homeless. One third of the population (or 3.3 million people) is now affected by food shortages, and the flooding has made the situation more chronic. Malawi's acute crisis arises from drought, flooding and the HIV/AIDS pandemic. Prices of farm inputs and maize remain excruciatingly high, although the government reintroduced price controls mid-December to increase the accessibility of poor farmers and subsistence farmers to necessities, specifically maize, seed, and fertiliser. With the vast majority of the population classified as poor (with 65% of the population living on less than a dollar a day), this is a step forward. Despite efforts, including subsidies, prices are still too high for many, and some families have already sold their livestock to cope with the prices and have left themselves susceptible to fluctuations of the market. The WFP has also received reports that thousands have died to date from hunger and disease, although these reports remain unconfirmed. However, prospects for relief are positive, as the Nacala railroad is under repair, which will facilitate expedient movement of food aid and distribution. (Reuters 13/01/03 )(WFP 20/12/02)(IFRC 12/12/02)
As of 11 January, Malawi has been officially declared as in "a state of national disaster" by its president, President Bakili Muluzi. It all began in October, the normal planting season, with a large drought so many of the crops were not planted. When their typical rain came in December it was a blessing until it didn't stop. Cyclone Delfina decided to flood the crops that could be planted in October. The rain, a naturally occurring element for this time of year, has caused a third of Malawi's 10 million people face food shortage. Unfortunately, "The great majority of those affected are extremely poor women who are predominantly engaged in crop production," United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) said, noting that such crops as maize, tobacco and rice that have been wiped out are the main source of livelihood for most Malawians. The number of people needing food assistance has increased from 15, 000 to about 20,000 people within a week and almost 60,000 farming families have lost their crops. WFP plans to aid by supplying food relief to 2.8 million people during the month of January. Their current supply of maize is 28,000 metric tonnes, however, there is also 250,000 metric tonnes of commercial maize being imported through the National Food Reserve Agency (NFRA) with European Union assistance. With these collaborations, the Malawian government is trying to defeat the tragedy that has been occurring since October. To further exacerbate hunger, a scandal has surfaced that some of the national food reserves have been sold to Kenya during the drought in October. This is being investigated by the government.
(The Malawi Standard January 16, 2003) (UN Integrated Regional Information Networks 13 January 2003)(BBC 11 January, 2003)(BBC 31 December, 2002) (United Nations January 16)(AllAfrica January 16, 2003)
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Mozambique
After months of drought last year, ares of Mozambique face another poor rain season. The south and central regions, which have not fully recovered from last years drought, will experience yet another season of poor crop productivity if rains do not come in the next two weeks, reported the SADC to the UN Resident Coordinator in mid-December. The southern and central regions are characterized by semi-arid land and sandy soil, which is perhaps better for livestock breeding than maize, or even sorghum production. Swaziland, Malawi, Tanzania, Botswana and South Africa are affected by by below average rainfall as well. This widespread rain shortage is exascerbating relief efforts as well as nearly gauranteeing prolonged food insecurity in the next year. The government, however, is encouraging alternate drought resistant crops in provinces dependent on suitability of land, including cassava, pineapple, sweet potatoes, and especially sorghum. UN Resident Coordinator 17/12/02 ; FEWSNET 20/12/02 ; IRIN 17/12/02 ).
Like every other African nation facing food insecurities, Mozambique's situation is complex. Flooding has affected Sofala, Inhambane, and Gaza which are dependent on fishing. Livestock in the provinces of Manica, Maputo, and Sofala are also threatened by drought and economic insecurity. Rising prices of food are also contributing to the security of urban populations, particulary in Maputo. Despite government agricultural mitigation techniques, approximately 1.4 million people, up previously from 590,000, are now in need of aid, as sharp flooding due to Cyclone Delfina occured in the northern region on December 31, 2002 (SADC 09/01/03; IRIN 06/01/03; FEWSNET 20/12/02).

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Burundi
During his New Year's address to the nation, Burundi's President, Pierre Buyoya, pushed for the National Liberation Forces (FNL), the country's second largest rebel group, to enter peace talks with the government. Since November 2001, based on the Arusha Accord, the country has operated with a transitional government that shares power between the Hutu and Tutsis. The peace agreement in Arusha was signed in 2000 and called for the equal distribution of power in government, policing, and the military. In 2002, the government signed three cease-fire agreements with Hutu rebel groups in an attempt to stop the fighting that has killed nearly 300,000 citizens since 1993. Buyoya vowed that all possible measures would be taken to bring an end to the violence. The three accords are scheduled for implementation in the first two weeks of 2003, when an African cease-fire monitoring force is expected in Burundi. Burundi's Foreign Minister, Therence Singuruza, is optimistic and believes that the peace process is underway, despite the fact that the FNL is being blamed for a recent attack on the capitol that claimed three lives. (AFP 1 January)
 On January 18, the death of ten soldiers in Gisuru in the eastern province of Ruyigi sparked a widespread military offensive. Large numbers of people have been displaced and targeted food distributions have been disrupted. On the 27th and 28th of January, a six person OCHA led inter-agency assessment team visited the area. When the group returned to the capital, their main concern was the fact that much of the province remained inaccessible due to military operations. (IRIN 31 January)
 The UN World Food Programme (WFP) launched an appeal for food aid donations in early December 2002 based on estimates of a large food shortage. It is believed that 580,000 to 1.2 million people will need assistance due to a two month delay in rains and a poor harvest from the previous year. The WFP is trying to collect 40,000 metric tons of food, valued at US $19 million, to feed Burundians until the main harvest in April 2003. Food aid is being distributed to the most affected areas but more resources are needed to strengthen the work force in the northern provinces. The food-for-work activities are vitally important in containing the spread of hunger. Workers are traded food for their labour on projects such as field preparation for cultivation, soil erosion prevention and the restoration of swamps and forests. Additionally, a current outbreak of malaria threatens an already weak population. In 2000, an estimated 600,000 people suffered from the disease. (WFP 2 December)
 The WFP's first report of 2003 indicates that Burundi needs more timely food deliveries to meet the country's needs. Even though the organisation recently received over 1,500 tons of cereal, there is hardly enough food to cover distribution plans scheduled for the next two weeks. The WFP worked with CARE and World Vision from the 23 to the 29 of December to provide assistance to more than 23,600 people at risk of food insecurity in the Karuzi and Kayanza Provinces. (WFP 3 January)
 The FNL rejected an appeal from the UN Security Council asking the rebels to sign a cease-fire. The group's political advisor, Pasteur Habimana, told AFP, "The government and army have massacred hundreds of thousands of Burundis since 1965 without the Security Council or the international community stepping in to demand justice in Burundi…We will fight till the last drop of blood to see justice done." (AFP 31 January)
 UN relief agencies have lost contact with thousands of people in central Burundi due to recent fighting and officials warn that the danger of malnutrition is rising. Between 47,000 and 65,000 civilians have been displaced from their homes. The WFP has been unable to deliver almost 82 tons of food to 7,400 people in Gitega. In Ruyigi, 15,000 people wait for suspended deliveries. (AFP 31 January)
 353 Burundian refugees were repatriated to the northern part of the country despite the fact that fighting in central Burundi has displaced an estimated 40,000-60,000. Many of the refugees, returning from Ngara, Tanzania, said they were aware of the conflict but still felt confident that they would be safe in the north. Each person received a package of food and domestic supplies and many were greeted by waiting villagers. (UNHCR 24 January)
 The food insecurity in Burundi is compounded by the influx of refugees from Uvira, DRC. 14,000 people have fled the area and experts believe the number could grow as large as 40,000. (WFP 2 December)
 Recent reports indicate that 3,000 Democratic Republic of Congo refugees have crossed the Cibitoke border into Burundi following the resumption of fighting in the Uvira district. Additionally, WFP is preparing distribution to five communes in the Muramvya province. (WFP 10 January)
 Eight civilians were killed in what is believed to retaliation by Burundi's Tutsi dominated army in the Taba district, a Hutu neighbourhood in the capital. Local authorities denied the claims but witnesses said the incident took place after a group of people robbed a paramilitary policeman of his gun. Several dozen witnesses said that army soldiers arrived, surrounded the area, and then gunshots were heard. Jean de Dieu Niyongabo, a government official, told reporters that rebels dressed in civilian clothes shot at the soldiers first and they returned fire. (AFP 6 January)
 Fighting near Burundi's capital claimed the lives of 13 soldiers, two rebels, and one civilian. 16 others were wounded in the battle between government forces and the FNL. In Ruvyagira, 20 kilometres south of Bujumbura, a similar stand off killed 12 soldiers and two rebels while wounding another 14 people. It is believed that fighting broke out after the FNL ambushed a soldier and executed a woman. (AFP 11 January)
In Kangunzi, 55 kilometres north-west of Bujumbura, ten people were killed in an attack on a convoy of vehicles. According to a survivor, a group of unidentified armed men sprayed the vehicles with bullets and then searched everyone for valuables. The army says they have been chasing Forces for the Defense of Democracy (FDD) rebels in the area but the group's spokesman has denied responsibility for the attack. The FNL has also denied carrying out the ambush but suggests that elements of their force may have collaborated with Mayi-Mayi militias from the Democratic Republic of Congo to raid the convoy. (BBC 13 January)
Burundi's army is returning items stolen by soldiers in a suburb north-east of Bujumbura. In an operation that claimed ten lives, soldiers looted homes in Taba, an area in the Kamenge district. Locals were happy to recover their belongings but the programme has also been seen as proof that the military cannot be trusted. Currently, two soldiers have been arrested for theft. (BBC 14 January)

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Democratic Republic of Congo
In 1998, in what was once termed Africa's first continental war, government forces supported by troops from Angola, Namibia and Zimbabwe, began battling rebel groups backed by Uganda and Rwanda.   The fighting, which came after the 1994 genocide of Rwanda's ethnic Tutsi community by the former Hutu army and militias who then fled west into the DRC, has destroyed much of the infrastructure of the vast mineral-rich central DRC.   Rights organisations have estimated that 2.5 million people have been killed, either as a direct result of fighting or because of hunger and disease in what they said has become Africa's worst humanitarian crisis in recent years.  
For this reason, and given the pockets of ongoing fighting and misery at various points across the country, analysts have been cautious to express optimism about the recently negotiated withdrawals.   This is in part because none of the parties involved have given clear figures on how many troops they deploy in DRC, or whether they will be able to meet the withdrawal deadlines set in separate accords, mostly mediated and spurred by South Africa, which the government of President Joseph Kabila has signed with various parties (AFP 21 Sept 2002).
The last group of Rwandan soldiers left the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) on the 5th October, an AFP correspondent in the border town of Goma reported.   The 1,150 men of the third battalion of the Rwanda Patriotic Army (RPA) crossed the border by foot in a single file at a small border post separating Goma from the town of Gisenyi on the Rwandan side of the border.   A total of 22,000 RPA troops have left the DRC as a whole, by plane or by road, according to the general staff.   This figure does not include sick and injured soldiers, men on leave or those or were in Rwanda before the operation began.   The entire operation is estimated to have cost about 17 million dollars, according to Rwandan Army Chief of Staff General James Kaberebe (AFP 5 Oct 2002).    
Unarmed opposition and civil society groups in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) began informal talks with South African President Thabo Mbeki, aimed at finding common ground between them and the other stakeholders in DRC's war (AFP 4 Oct 2002).  
The withdrawal of foreign forces from the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has been applauded by Zambia, but the southern neighbour is also worried by the instability that could follow, Zambian officials told IRIN.   "There are still some clashes here and there and things are not going as smoothly as we would have expected. That causes concern for us, as when affected people start running, the first place they end up is Zambia," a government official explained (UN OCHA 1 Oct 2002).    
The governments of Uganda and the Democratic Republic of Congo have set up a joint commission to establish peace in the war-torn Ituri region of northeastern DRC and along the countries' shared border.   The withdrawal of Ugandan troops from the DRC has almost been completed, except for two battalions which remain in Bunia, with the permission of both the Congolese government and the United Nations Mission in the Congo (known as MONUC). (UN OCHA 27 Sept 2002)  
The resumption of the rainy season will increase the difficulties to access certain regions and add to the factors constraining the implementation of programmes. In some provinces such as South Kivu, roads rehabilitation under FFW activities has been given top priority to mitigate the impact of the rainy season. To overcome these access difficulties, WFP has initiated an airlift operation in Northern Katanga. Under the third phase of this operation, WFP intends to support a seeds protection project involving 30,000 families in Kongolo, Manono, Kabalo, Mpiana, Kiambi and Mulongo, all areas only accessible by air. Together with their 15 days food rations, the beneficiaries will receive seeds and tools provided by FHI. Over 1,150 tons of food still need to be airlifted (WFP 20 September)    
Parts of the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) are on the brink of a food crisis because deliveries from drought-ridden Zambia and Zimbabwe have dried up, the United Nations warned.   The UN's Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) said three southern provinces of DRC -- Katanga, East and West Kasai -- relied on the southern African countries for 80 percent of their basic foodstuffs.   (AFP 20 Sept 2002).      
IOM has signed an agreement with the Governments of the Republic of the Congo (RoC) and the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) to help in the voluntary return and reintegration of some 4,000 former combatants from the Forces Armées Zairoises (FAZ), the Forces Armées Congolaises (FAC), and their families (IOM 17 Sept 2002).  
 

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Sierra Leone
The movement of refugees and returnees continued to slow down. In the UNHCR facilitated repatriation of Sierra Leoneans from Guinea, WFP provided food aid to 1,500 returnees during their two-day transit at the Port Loko Way Station and also supported about 500 returnees from Guinea being resettled in Daru. WFP supported 13,500 Liberian refugees in Jembe and Gerihun Camps (WFP 17 January)    
The African Development Fund (ADF) and the government of Sierra Leone have signed agreements for a loan of 15 million Units of Account (UA)* and a UA 1 million Technical Assistance Fund (TAF) grant to finance the rehabilitation of the country's basic, non-formal and vocational education.   The agreements cover a total of 21.75 million US dollars.(African Development Bank 16 Jan 2003).  
Widespread and systematic sexual violence during a decade of war in Sierra Leone was committed on a far larger scale than the highly visible amputations for which the country became notorious, according to a new report from Human Rights Watch.   "Sexual violence has remained Sierra Leone's silent war crime," HRW says.   The report highlights the legacy of ongoing sexual and domestic violence in the country and the need for urgent attention from the international community.   (The Guardian January 16, 2003).    Human Rights Watch has accused all parties that were involved in the ten-year old conflict in Sierra Leone of wide spread atrocities and sexual violence. The report further stated that the initial atrocities were committed by the then AFRC renegades but further accused the then Sierra Leone Army, the CDF and the United Nations peace keepers that were later deployed of the same violations (Standard Times Freetown January 17, 2003).
 The judges appointed to sit in Sierra Leone's Special Court for war crimes committed during the 10-year civil war have been sworn in. The judges - two Sierra Leoneans and six expatriates - swore to serve the court "honestly, faithfully, impartially and conscientiously". The court has a three-year mandate and was established by the United Nations and Sierra Leone earlier this year. The ceremony was a significant step in the development of the Special Court, which aims to punish those who bear the greatest responsibility for atrocities committed the civil war (BBC 2 December, 2002).
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Cote D'Ivoire
The WFP has said that in-country stocks are insufficient to cover the food needs for the next two months.   From 2 to 17 December, WFP, in collaboration with Action Contre La Faim (ACF) distributed 355 tons of rice to 34,600 families with young children in Bouaké. A Post Distribution Monitoring mission was carried out among 400 families. The evaluation shows that an estimated 60 percent of the families in Bouaké do not have any income, while the remaining 40 percent have lost 80 percent of their purchasing power. The quality of food consumed daily has also decreased significantly. Although the situation is not yet critical, the combination of these factors is likely to have a serious negative humanitarian impact, unless access to food and medical support is restored. (WFP 3 January 2003)      
Ivory Coast's main rebel group warned that President Laurent Gbagbo will not keep his pledge to respect a truce or expel mercenaries, and said it was pinning its hopes for peace on former colonial power France.   "Gbagbo will not respect his pledges," Sidiki Konate, a spokesman for the Ivory Coast Patriotic Movement (MPCI) group, which has held the northern half of the west African country since an uprising on September 19, told AFP.     The war -- which has severely dented Ivory Coast's reputation as a haven of peace and stability in troubled west Africa -- has been complicated by the discovery of two mass graves thought to contain up to 200 bodies.   The three rebel groups say they are fighting for the rights of the Muslim-majority people of the north and ethnic groups in the west who, they claim, have been marginalised since the death of the country's first president, Felix Houphouet-Boigny, in 1993 (AFP 6 Jan 2003).    
Ivory Coast rebels armed with mortars attacked French peacekeepers in the western town of Duekoue leading to "serious" clashes, two days after the government and the main rebel group vowed to respect a shaky truce.  Some 2,500 French troops have been deployed in Ivory Coast to enforce the ceasefire and protect foreigners in the biggest military intervention by Paris in Africa since the 1980s (AFP 6 Jan 2003).    
Reports of fighting in the southwestern Cote d'Ivoire was causing increased populations movements with the situation becoming "more and more" desperate for especially Liberian refugees living in this area, humanitarian sources told IRIN.  (UN OCHA 6 Jan 2003).    
IOM is continuing to assist Guineans and third country nationals who fled war-torn Danané and Man regions in western Côte d'Ivoire and who are stranded in and around Nzérékoré and Lola in south-eastern Guinea.   (IOM 3 Jan 2003).  
Liberia
   

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DPR Korea
UN Secretary General Kofi Annan has sent a special envoy to DPR Korea to assess the humanitarian needs of its people, a United Nations spokeswoman. The envoy, Maurice Strong's main purpose is to assess humanitarian aid but he is willing to listen to any subject will be put forward. A former Canadian businessman, Strong, 74, was the first director of the UN Environment Programme in the 1970s and later presided over the Earth Summit in Rio de Janiero in 1992(AFP 6 Jan 2003).    
The United States warned that although it would not halt food shipments to DPR Korea for political reasons, they could be in doubt over concerns that the aid does not reach famished intended recipients.  "We need to know that this can be verified, we need to know the people who deserve this food are going to get this food, we need to know that there have been improvements in the monitoring situation," said State Department spokesman Richard Boucher.  
This year, WFP had to cut its operations in DPRKorea to help only 3.4 million people, compared with 6.4 million last year, WFP executive director James Morris said.   "We will need 550,000 metric tonnes of food in DPR Korea next year; at this stage we have commitments for 33,000 metric tonnes -- 23,000 from the European Community and 10,000 from Italy," he said.   "It is conceivable that, come April 1, we will not have resources to do our work and that there will not be a WFP, and ultimately a United Nations presence, in that country." (AFP 6 Jan 2003)      
Continuing its campaign to revive international attention to DPR Korea's faltering agricultural sector and critical food shortages, the World Food Program said in a new report that more than 10 percent of DPR Korea's population would be dropped from its grain distribution program early this year if more donations are not forthcoming (JoongAng Ilbo 3 Jan 2003).
Without immediate, additional contributions WFP has said that it will not be able to reach some 2.9 million of the 4.5 million most vulnerable aid recipients it is feeding. These at-risk beneficiaries include almost 2 million children in nurseries, kindergartens and primary schools, 130,000 pregnant/nursing women, 550,000 elderly persons and 225,000 caregivers in child institutions and hospitals. In addition, all Food for Work activities must be suspended and some Local Food Production factories will be forced to stop functioning towards the end of January (WFP 3 January 2003)      
Many DPR Koreans will spend winter in air-raid shelters to protect themselves from the freezing cold.   With Siberian winds pushing temperatures to lows of minus 30 degrees Celsius they have no choice, according to RENK (Rescue The North Korean People), a group that assists DPR Korean refugees (AFP 2 Jan 2003).      
 
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Afghanistan

 

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Tajikistan
Aid workers in Tajikistan have welcomed a Saudi-funded project to reconstruct a stretch of road damaged by landslides and mudslides over the years. The road is a vital link between the remote eastern Badakhshon Province and central areas and is critical for food aid deliveries to Afghanistan from Central Asia.
The European Commission has resumed its assistance project known as TACIS (Technical Assistance to CIS) to Tajikistan following a four year suspension according to an EC official. The programme was suspended in 1998 after two French programme experts were taken hostage by a terrorist group - one died during the rescue operation. The programme has been resumed in the light of events in the region post 11 September.(UN OCHA 30 Aug 2002)
The French Foreign Ministry is to provide emergency aid in response to requests from the Tajik government. The aid is destined for people affected by the landslide in Tajikistan, in the region of Upper Badakhshan (Pamir), in the night of August 7 and to enable the Tajik authorities to ensure that the school year begins in satisfactory conditions.(Government of France 26 Aug 2002).
A fatal typhoid outbreak in Dushanbe has been blamed on the appalling living conditions most of the capital's residents are forced to endure. Dushanbe health chief Nina Kravchenko said that one local had died and 276 have been diagnosed with the disease - 88 of them children. Other reports in the independent media put the figure at around 500 with three deaths. The Tajik ministry of health, which does not have enough money to buy a vaccine against the disease, is advising people to wash their hands and boil water before using it (Institute for War & Peace Reporting 23 Aug 2002)
An increasing number of Tajiks are being kidnapped by Afghan drug dealers, taken from their border villages and held hostage until their families pay ransom money to clear debts. In mid July, three residents from Porvor, including a border guard holding the rank of captain, were taken to Afghanistan, and a price of 80,000 US dollars was set for their return.
More than 100 Tajiks are now thought to be in such captivity. While some have been taken by force to clear money owed to the drug lords, many choose to be imprisoned as "security" for heroin supplied from Afghanistan. The confined man's associates sell the drugs in Tajikistan or elsewhere, pay for the release of the "hostage", and keep the difference as profit.(Institute for War & Peace Reporting 13 Aug 2002)
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Iraq
 The Gulf War witnessed one of history's heaviest bombing campaigns, a 43-day bomb-fest, largely by units of the US Air Force, left something in the region of $170 billion-worth of damage. The subsequent enforcement of sanctions has meant that much of that damage has never been repaired, and it is the lack of safe water, housing, food and medicine that is exacting the greatest toll among children and the elderly (The Observer September 22, 2002).
Military intervention would greatly exacerbate the humanitarian crisis in Iraq: pushing a population already suffering from poverty and sanctions over the edge, warned Save the Children UK - the longest-standing non-governmental organisation operating in Northern Iraq.
 After 12 years of sanctions, infant mortality in Iraq has doubled and the civilian population is highly vulnerable to external shocks that impact on food supplies and basic service provision. Military conflict will interrupt the supply of food under the UN Oil for Food Programme if neighbouring states close borders, central administration and distribution systems break down, transport routes are obstructed and humanitarian agencies cease operations (SCF 13 Sept 2002)
 The Government of the Republic of Iraq has decided to allow the return of United Nations weapons inspectors to Iraq without conditions. The Foreign Minister has also indicated that his Government is ready to discuss the practical arrangements necessary for the immediate resumption of inspections (UN Security Council 16 Sept 2002)
The following is an extract from a joint letter from ActionAid, Cafod, Christian Aid, Oxfam GB, Save the Children which appeared in the The Guardian newspaper on Thursday 26 September 2002.
"As British aid agencies working either in Iraq or in the wider region, we believe military action could cause a humanitarian catastrophe. Across the country hundreds of thousands of people, especially children, are already in a weakened and highly vulnerable state. War is highly likely to further destroy the water, power, health and sanitation infrastructure and interrupt vital supplies of food, fuel and medicines. It could well lead to the cutting of food supplies to northern Iraq, which is not government-controlled, as well as to areas that are controlled by Baghdad. In certain scenarios the danger of large-scale civilian casualties is very great, as is the likelihood of significant movements of displaced people and refugees. Already Iraq has nearly three-quarters of a million internally displaced people. The possibility of a period of civil strife between Iraq's various ethnic and religious groups cannot be ruled out. If military action takes place, the international community then has a responsibility to help the Iraqi people with short-term and long-term security, protection, and material and financial support. Our experience in Afghanistan is not encouraging. There, despite numerous pledges, there still remains a yawning gap between rhetoric and reality (Christian Aid 30 Sept 2002)"
A severe budget gap is hampering the United Nations "oil-for-food" programme, which allows Baghdad to use a portion of its crude revenues to purchase humanitarian relief, Benon Sevan, the UN official in charge of the operation has told the Security Council.
Iraqi oil exports have dropped from an average of over 2 million barrels per day in 2000 to under 1 million barrels per day in recent months. The UN calculates that the reduced exports have caused a $3.2 billion loss of revenue. The situation is further exacerbated by the cumulative revenue shortfall from earlier phases of the programme, which has left over $2.3 billion worth of UN-approved humanitarian contracts without funding. The possible disruption of Iraq's oil output as a result of political developments is one of the factors causing difficulties, according to the Programme. Others include disagreements over the pricing of Iraqi oil, Baghdad's occasional unilateral export suspensions, and the practice of "retroactive pricing" which is employed as a means of discouraging illegal kickbacks.
Malnutrition is slowly decreasing, but a recent UN Children's Fund (UNICEF) survey of over half a million Iraqi children found that one in five was malnourished (UN News Service 25 Sept 2002).
A leading NGO dealing with the plight of Iraqi refugees living in Iran has renewed its calls to the international community for urgently needed assistance to thousands living in squalid and destitute conditions. "There is no real humanitarian work being done for these people in Iran," Khadijet Ak Kubra's director, Sami Mahdi, told IRIN in the Iranian capital, Tehran. "Not even one percent of these people's needs are being fulfilled," he complained.
Khadijet Ak Kubra maintains that over the past 23 years, hundreds of thousands of Iraqi refugees have entered Iran, particularly during the eight-year war period between the two countries between 1980 and 1988 (UN OCHA Integrated Regional Information Network 23 Sept 2002).
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