Plenary Session 1 (9.30 - 12.30)

Policy

Room G05, Moderator: Geoffrey Blanford (EPRI)

9.30 – 10.10

Brian O Gallachoir (8,878kB)

Energy Modelling Informing Policy Decisions

10.10 - 10.50

Jan Nill (2,866kB)

EU Energy and CO2 emission trends to 2050

10.50 - 11.30

Frank Convery (2,369kB)

COP 21 – how to get from ambition to action?

Parallel Session 1 (12.00 - 12.50) 

Parallel A: Air Quality; Co-Benefits

The impacts of policies to meet the UK climate change act target on air quality – An explicit modelling study Martin Williams (1,243kB), King's College London, United Kingdom

Air quality co-benefit evaluation of China's carbon peaking effort based on China-MAPLE model Xi Yang (1,133kB), China University of Petroleum, China

Parallel B: Water Land Energy Nexus

Global freshwater demand for electricity generation to 2100 under low-carbon scenarios Michela Bevione (1,338kB), Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei

Advanced stochastic optimization modeling of the water-energy-food nexus for robust energy and agricultural development: Coal mining industry in Shanxi province, China Xu Xiangyang (1,383kB), China University of Mining and Technology, Beijing, China

Parallel C: Energy System Innovation

The political economy of energy innovation Shouro Dasgupta (924kB), Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM) & Centro Euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), Italy

Optimal international technology cooperation for the 2 degree target Anselm Schultes, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research

Parallel D: Power System Pathways

Nuclear off or on? The impact of nuclear power generation on electricity wholesale prices in a small, open economy Evidence of nuclear power plants' restart in Belgium Danielle Devogelaer, Federal Planning Bureau

Integration of VRE in the Nordic Energy System Kenneth Karlsson (14,569kB), Technical University of Denmark

Parallel E: Post Paris Pathways

On the way to a decarbonized world: An analysis of the Paris climate agreement with TIAM-FR Sandrine Selosse (1,045kB), MINES ParisTech – CMA, France

Assessing the ambition level of INDCs target of US, EU, China and India Cui Xueqin (9,337kB), Renmin University of China

Parallel Session 2 (14.00 - 15.15)

Parallel A: Air Quality; Co-Benefits

Is energy transition beneficial to sectors with high employment content? An input-output analysis for France Quentin Perrier (677kB), CIRED, France

Up In The Air: A framework for quantifying the co-impacts of energy sector decarbonisation on outdoor air pollution Melissa C. Lott, University College London Institute for Sustainable Resources, United Kingdom

Assessing health externalities of fossil fuel power in Taiwan Meng-Ying Lee (1,655kB), Industrial Technology Research Institute (ITRI), Taiwan

Parallel B: Bioenergy Pathways

Assessing the long-term potential of bioenergy in electricity, heat and grid balancing markets: case study for Switzerland Evangelos Panos (2,385kB), Paul Scherrer Institute, Switzerland

Bioenergy as a potential to avoid early phase out of stranded assets Victor Keller (1,526kB), University of Victoria, Canada

Evaluating the impact of bioenergy emission accounting methodology in energy system decarbonisation pathways to 2050 using a scenario approach: A case study of UK Nagore Sabio (8,255kB), UCL Energy Institute, United Kingdom

Parallel C: Decarbonisation Pathways

Long-term dynamics of technological change in mitigation scenarios Charlie Wilson (783kB), Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East Anglia, United Kingdom

Offshore CCS and ocean acidification: A global long-term probabilistic cost-benefit analysis of climate change mitigation Bob Van Der Zwaan (1,592kB), ECN and University of Amsterdam, Netherlands

Regional climates, impacts, and strategic SRM Massimo Tavoni – FEEM (Italy)

Parallel D: Macro & Socio Economic Impacts

Economic structural change as an option for mitigating the impacts of climate change Alexander Golub (164kB), The World Bank, United States of America

The deployment of low carbon technologies in energy intensive sectors: A GCE analysis for Europe, China and India Stefan Nabernegg (766kB), University of Graz, Austria

Parallel E: Post Paris Pathways

Equitable burden sharing: Modelling the macroeconomic impacts of the carbon constrained energy system in ETSAP-TIAM-MACRO Socrates Kypreos (2,538kB), PSI, Switzerland

Achieving net-zero emissions: reframing national targets in the post-Paris Agreement era Steve Pye, UCL Energy Institute, United Kingdom

Transparency and comparability of the INDCs - results from the WITCH model Lara Aleluia Reis, FEEM and CMCC, Italy

Parallel Session 3 (15.45 - 17.00)

Parallel A: Residential Energy Efficiency

The price of energy efficiency in the Spanish housing market Amaia de Ayala (847kB), Basque Centre for Climate Change (BC3)

Residential energy efficiency and European carbon policies: A CGE-analysis with bottom-up information on energy efficiency technologies Orvika Rosnes, Statistics Norway

The Adaptation of the US Residential Sector to Global Warming Francois Cohen, London School of Economics

Parallel B: Water Land Energy Nexus Room G02: Chair: Xiangyang Xu (CUMT)

Modelling the competition for land: the Food-Energy nexus in Ireland Alessandro Chiodi (1,718kB), University College Cork

Water balance effects of domestic agricultural land use and management shifts due to U.S. biofuel policies Sonia Yeh (17,672kB), Chalmers University of Technology, Sweden

Sustainable forest-based energy in Eurasia Florian Kraxner, Ecosystems Services and Management Program (ESM), International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Austria

Parallel C: Decarbonisation Pathways

Integrated assessment of the prospects for hydrogen technology through 2100 using a regionally disaggregated DNE21 Ryoichi Komiyama (2,473kB), The University of Tokyo, Japan

Carbon counterfactuals - Proximity-based synthetic controls for CO2 emission trajectories Alexander Radebach (4,277kB), Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Germany

Pathways to deep decarbonization in Italy Maria Rosa Virdis, ENEA, Italy

Parallel D: Macro & Socio Economic Impacts

Long-term macroeconomic impact of US unconventional Oil and Gas production: a general equilibrium perspective. Florian Leblanc, CIRED, France

Intergenerational discounting with intragenerational inequality in consumption and the environment Rintaro Yamaguchi (1,182kB), Kyoto University, Japan

Parallel E: Sustainable Development

Who benefits from infrastructure development through carbon pricing? -  Insights from Nigeria Ira Dorband (2,291kB), Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change

Compatibility of the SE4ALL energy efficiency objective with renewable energy, energy access, and climate mitigation targets Jay Gregg (2,373kB), Technical University of Denmark

Climate resilience and reserves in the developing world Mark Howells, Royal Institute of Technology (KTH)

Plenary Session 1 (9.00 - 11.00)

Pathways

Room G05, Moderator: Bob van der Zwaan (ECN)

9.00 – 9.40

Steven Rose (2,776kB)

Energy Research and the Road From Paris

9.40 - 10.20

Ambuj Sagar (1,379kB)

Accelerating the low-carbon transition: A view from India

10.20 - 11.00

Jonathan O’Sullivan

Eirgrid

Parallel Session 1 (11.30-12.45)

Parallel A: Modelling Uncertainty

New methodological approach for planning cities sustainable and resilient energy futures – the case of the InSMART project, Rocco De Miglio (1,929kB) E4SMA srl

From shared socio-economic baseline assumptions to CO2 fossil fuels emissions, Giacomo Marangoni (1,176kB), FEEM / CMCC / Polytechnic of Milan

The use of bottom-up optimisation models in different modes for analysing the transition to sustainable urban areas, Kari Aamodt Espegren (812kB), Institute for Energy Technology (IFE)

Parallel B: Environmental Taxes, Trade & Markets

Blending under uncertainty: insights from the biofuels industry, Hamed Ghoddusi, Stevens Institute of Technology

Interaction between CO2 emissions trading and renewable energy subsidies under uncertainty: feed-in-Tariffs as a safety net against over allocation, Lecuyer Oskar, University of Bern

Parallel C: Decarbonisation Pathways

Impacts of fossil fuels extraction costs and carbon pricing on energy efficiency policies, Nadia Maïzi, MINES ParisTech, Paris Science Lettres

U.S. emissions and technology pathways toward 2050 goals: The role of temporal flexibility, John Bistline (954kB), Electric Power Research Institute

The role of direct air capture in achieving the Paris climate targets, Adriana Marcucci - ETH Zurich

Parallel D: Power System Pathways

Hydropower externalities: A meta-analysis, Mattmann Matteo, VU University Amsterdam/ Eawag Zurich

The economics of policy instruments to stimulate wind power in Brazil: A CGE analysis, Govinda Timilsina (474kB), World Bank

Using resource based slicing to capture the intermittency of variable renewables, Mariliis Lehtveer (1,958kB), Chalmers University of Technology

Parallel E: Sustainable Development

        An indicative analysis of investment opportunities in the African electricity supply sector - Using TEMBA (The electricity model base for Africa), Constantinos Taliotis (1,998kB)KTH - Royal Institute of Technology

Cost and returns of renewable energy in Sub-Saharan Africa. A comparison of Kenya and Ghana, Ana Pueyo (1,063kB), Institute of Development Studies

A climate resilient Africa - Calculating the cost of adaptation to climate change for the African countries, Vignesh Sridharan, KTH-dESA

Parallel Session 2 (14.00-15.15)

Parallel A: Modelling Uncertainty

Sensitivity of modelling results to technological and regional details: The case of Italy's carbon mitigation policy, Gabriele Standardi (1,372kB), FEEM - Fondazione ENI Enrico Mattei

An alternate methodology to sensitivity testing using stochastic modelling and the South African TIMES model, Bryce Mccall (986kB), Energy Research Centre

Adapting long-lived infrastructure to uncertain and transient change, Marius Paschen (779kB), Carl von Ossietzky, University Oldenburg

Parallel B: Environmental Taxes, Trade & Markets

Environmental policies that maximise social welfare: the role of intergenerational inequality, Gonand Frédéric, University Paris-Dauphine    

Cost-efficiency of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS): An ex-post analysis, Vicki Duscha, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research

Parallel C: Decarbonisation Pathways

A multi-model method to analyse the economics of power-to-gas for renewable integration, Paul Dodds (2,739kB), University College London          

Modelling investment in upstream gas and implications for future supply curves under different demand scenarios, Daniel Crow, Imperial College London

CO2 mitigation for climate risk management, Geoffrey Blanford, EPRI

Parallel D: Power Systems Pathways          

The role of capital costs for decarbonizing the power sector, Jan Steckel, Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change- TU Berlin- PIK

Electricity grid and storage: complements or substitutes? Paul Neetzow (862kB), Carl von Ossietzky University Oldenburg, Humboldt University of Berlin

Evaluating the capacity of integrated assessment models to represent system integration challenges of wind and solar power, Robert Pietzcker (1,087kB), Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)

Parallel E: Behaviour & People

Actors behaving badly: modelling non-optimal behaviour in energy transitions,Francis Li (1,589kB), UCL Energy Institute, University College London

Endogenizing behavioural effects and infrastructure investments in COCHIN-TIMES model and their implications for climate policy analysis, Kalai Ramea (1,714kB), University of California, Davis, Behaviour and People

Time use, lifestyle and energy consumption: lessons from time use and budget data for French households, Simona De Lauretis (1,494kB), CIRED / EDF R&D

Parallel Session 3 (15.45-17.00)

Parallel A: Modelling Uncertainty  

Modelling to generate alternatives: A technique to explore uncertainty in energy-environment-economy models, James Price (1,531kB), UCL Energy Institute

Integrated assessment of uncertain climate catastrophes: What does the risk of ice sheet disintegration imply for economic analyses of climate policy? Delavane Diaz (1,461kB), Electric Power Research Institute

Quantifying uncertainties influencing the long-term impacts of oil prices on energy markets and carbon emissions, David McCollum, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)

Parallel B: Environmental Taxes, Trade & Markets

On the transition of Europe's power market - Benefits of coordination, Christoph Weissbart, ifo Institut

Modelling gas transport capacity investments with limited knowledge on future markets, Sara Giarola (1,911kB), Imperial College London

Consumption vs. production based CO2 pricing policies: macroeconomic trade-offs and carbon leakage, Kurt Kratena (639kB), Centre of Economic Scenario Analysis and Research – CESAR

Parallel C: Decarbonisation Pathways

Swedish climate policy in 2050 - Does the targets need to be defined now? Erik Sandberg (820kB), Lulea University of Technology

Environmental impacts of high penetration renewable energy scenarios for Europe, Peter Berrill (2,236kB), NTNU/Yale

The sensitivity of system cost and wind power revenues to sub-optimal investment in wind power capacity, Joel Goop (1,428kB), Chalmers University of Technology

Parallel D: Power Systems Pathways

Climate change policies and oil price effects on the Mexican electricity system in the medium and long term, Antonio Rodriguez Martinez (1,382kB), Engineering and Applied Sciences Research Centre, Universidad Autónoma del Estado de Morelos

Transformation of the European Union's power sector to 2030 – Adding value to IRENA's REmap 2030 project using a European Electricity Model, Sean Collins (2,162kB), UCC

The economic potential value of near- and offshore wind energy: An application to the Portuguese western coast, Ana Faria Lopes (1,639kB), NOVA School of Business and Economics

Parallel E: Behaviour & People

Incorporating social influence effects into global integrated assessment models, Hazel Pettifor (1,387kB), Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East Anglia

Willingness to pay for solar home systems in Guinea Bissau: consumers' preferences for different delivery models, Maria Apergi, London School of Economics and Political Science

Plenary Session 1 (9.00 - 11.00)

People

Room G05, Moderator: Massimo Tavoni (FEEM)

9.00 – 9.40

Diana Urge-Vorsatz (12,862kB)

"Well Below 2 Degrees”: Challenging Energy Modelling. The Role Of Buildings And Other Non-Mainstream Mitigation Options

9.40 - 10.20

Brian Motherway (2,558kB)

The People Dimension

10.20 - 11.00

Panel Discussion

Session 1 (11.30 - 12.45)

Parallel A: Transport Pathways

Modelling the role of transport infrastructure in a low-carbon world, Eoin O'Broin (702kB)‌, Centre international de recherche sur l'environnement et le développement (CIRED)

Implications of future freight demand growth for climate change mitigation, Matteo Muratori (3,259kB)‌, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

The role of carbon dioxide utilisation for transportation fuels in EU28 until 2050, an analysis using JRC-EU-TIMES, Wouter Nijs (2,438kB)‌, Joint Research Centre of the European Commission, Institute for Energy and Transport

Parallel B: Environmental Taxes, Trade & Markets

Unilateral emission pricing and OPEC's behaviour, Jan Schneider (241kB)‌, University of Oldenburd

Can energy efficiency standards reduce priced and improve quality? Evidence from the US clothes washer market, Michael Roberts (5,756kB)‌, University of Hawaii at Manoa

Energy security scenarios of future Europe, Christophe Cassen, CIRED, France

Parallel C: Macro & Socio Economic Impacts

Modeling climate mitigation and economic growth in relation to employment and skills in South Africa, Jules Schers (407kB)‌, CIRED, ENPC, AgroParisTech

Managing climate damages: exploring potential trade-offsSteven Rose (646kB)‌, Electric Power Research Institute

The macroeconomic impact of climate change mitigation action in Latin America: a model comparison, Tom Kober (1,237kB)‌, Paul Scherer Institute, Switzerland

Parallel D: Power System Pathways

Lifecycle energy demand and indirect greenhouse gas emissions of the electricity sector, Michaja Pehl (7,316kB)‌, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)

Resource diversity impacts on storage in a high variable renewable power system, Benjamin Lyseng, University of Victoria

Natural gas outlook for the Southern Cone: outcomes from an hourly basis TIMES natural gas & power model, Mauro Chavez Rodriguez (3,482kB)‌, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro

Parallel E: Post Paris Pathways

Exploring pathways for fulfilment of Kazakhstan's INDC targets, Bakytzhan Suleimenov (828kB)‌, National Laboratory Astana at Nazarbayev University

Nordic Energy Technology Perspectives - towards realising the Paris Climate agreement, Markus Wråke, IVL Swedish Environmental Research Institute

Hybrid linking TIAM and IMACLIM-KLEM: Assessing technological mitigation pathways from INDCs towards 1.5C, James Glynn (2,229kB)‌, University College Cork

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